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魅麗。花火原創小說66折起
The Logic of Miracles ― Making Sense of Rare, Really Rare, and Impossibly Rare Events
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The Logic of Miracles ― Making Sense of Rare, Really Rare, and Impossibly Rare Events

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Why we need a science of miracles

We live in a much more turbulent world than we like to think, but the science we use to analyze economic, financial, and statistical events mostly disregards the world’s essentially chaotic nature. We need to get used to the idea that wildly improbable events are actually part of the natural order. The renowned Hungarian mathematician and psychologist László Méro explains how the wild and mild worlds (which he names Wildovia and Mildovia) coexist, and that different laws apply to each. Even if we live in an ultimately wild universe, he argues, we’re better off pretending that it obeys Mildovian laws. Doing so may amount to a self-fulfilling prophecy and create an island of predictability in a very rough sea. Perched on the ragged border between economics and complexity theory, Méro proposes to extend the reach of science to subjects previously considered outside its grasp: the unpredictable, unrepeatable, highly improbable events we commonly call “miracles.”

作者簡介

László Méro is a professor in the Institute of Psychology at Eötvös Loránd University and cofounder of the marketing firm Darwin’s Marketing Evolution, Inc. He is the author of several books, including Moral Calculations. He lives in Budapest, Hungary.

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優惠價:90 1485
無庫存,下單後進貨
(到貨天數約30-45天)

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