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超越直覺:在時間與理性的拔河中,找回清晰思路
滿額折
作者:鄧肯.華茲  出版社:一起來出版  出版日:2024/01/31 裝訂:平裝
我們怎麼看世界,就怎麼做選擇。快思助長假性信心,慢想讓心力流失。10堂課深入淺出拆解「直覺」,讓直覺站在你這一邊★哈佛大學、杜克大學教授指定閱讀。《華爾街日報》、《紐約時報》推薦書單★Amazon4.1星、goodreads 3.8星好評,暢銷不墜、思考決策最重要的著作之一★從想像未來、做決定到因果分析,用社會學解開認知大課題直覺是人類早期進化形成的、自動而迅速的大腦信息處理流程。大腦比起按部就班,更喜歡「感覺對了」的決定。而分析思維雖然更合乎邏輯,也相對嚴謹,然而過度就會延宕我們的決策進程。人類的資訊、心力以及專業知識永遠有限。你我分分秒秒都在判斷:何時該理性,何時又該相信直覺。當精準度與時間作為天平的兩端,如何將誤差減至最低?直覺捷思與分析思維,一味地仰賴任一種都會吃悶虧。不同人在每個判斷都具有顯著的差異,就連我們自己的標準也從未維持一致。透過社會學,鳥瞰個人、組織到國家的「直覺的共業」,知道以簡馭繁的限制,在時間與理性的拔河中找回清晰思路我們所做的決定,無形中被周圍文化的價值觀、信念及行為規範左右,華茲敏銳觀察社會網路與人類集體行為,他透過生涯研究的集大成之作《超越直覺》,提醒現代人:「我們理解問題的方式,其實不利我們解決問題。」貫穿人類歷史,人在學習成功典範、事後檢討、規畫、建立做事習慣、判斷現狀等多少仰賴直覺。透過書裡的建議,在面對繁複的日常生活、政治、商業時,讀者可以進一步了解自身的立足點,幫助自己聰明工作、聰明生活,並且有效地計畫未來。「挑戰常識」將為你指引機會。拆穿「直覺陷阱」,讓直覺站在你這一邊──►為什麼幾乎所有人都覺得自己的開車技術高於平均?►股價跟天氣一樣是可以預測的嗎?►為什麼黑天鵝每一次都逃過專家的眼睛?►「光環效應」如何讓我們忽略事實?►我們能不能用「經驗法則」找到下一個特斯拉?►群體有兩副面孔:集眾人之智與烏合之眾 「我們偏愛簡單的故事,但是簡單的故事往往會過於誤導。」──摩根.豪瑟
暑期閱讀書展-單79雙75
定價:480 元, 優惠價:79 379
庫存:4
為什麼常識不可靠?:寧可沒常識,也不要因為常識而壞事
作者:鄧肯‧華茲  出版社:大塊文化  出版日:2013/07/25 裝訂:平裝
為什麼《蒙娜麗莎》是世上名氣最響亮的畫作?為什麼臉書異軍突起,其他社群網站卻以失敗收場?到底是鄉下長大的人還是來自城市所謂的「天兵」比較適合軍旅生活?對伊拉克增兵的確減少了當地的暴力衝突嗎?企業執行長能對公司業績發揮多大影響力?高薪真能鼓勵員工賣命嗎?為什麼有一半以上的人自認自己的駕駛技術在一般人之上?為什麼成文規定的重要性往往不如不成文規定? 若你覺得上述答案都只是常識問題,最好三思。
絕版無法訂購
超越直覺:別讓常識壞了事!解決大問題的10堂思考課
作者:鄧肯‧華茲  出版社:一起來出版  出版日:2021/03/04 裝訂:平裝
超越直覺,才能掌握未來!名校教授帶你打破思考框架、修正認知偏誤★《華爾街日報》、《紐約時報》 推薦書單★哈佛大學、杜克大學教授 指定閱讀★關於思考決策最重要的著作之一,管理者必讀! ⊙為什麼幾乎所有人都覺得自己的開車技術高於平均?⊙成功的人究竟是憑實力,還是靠運氣?⊙我們能不能用「經驗法則」找到下一個特斯拉?⊙股價跟天氣一樣是可以預測的嗎?⊙「光環效應」如何讓我們忽略事實?⊙為什麼黑天鵝每一次都逃
絕版無法訂購
Everything Is Obvious
79折
作者:Duncan J. Watts  出版社:Atlantic Books  出版日:2012/03/01 裝訂:平裝
From one of the world's most influential and cited sociologists, Everything is Obvious reveals how variable is human common sense and how, as individuals, societies and businesses, we delude ourselves
定價:714 元, 優惠價:79 564
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約45-60天)
Everything Is Obvious After It Happens
滿額折
作者:Mark Gosztyla  出版社:FINISHING LINE PR  出版日:2022/05/20 裝訂:平裝
定價:675 元, 優惠價:1 675
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約30-45天)
Everything Is Obvious: Once You Know the Answer
滿額折
作者:Duncan Watts  出版社:Crown Publishers  出版日:2011/03/29 裝訂:精裝
Why is the Mona Lisa the most famous painting in the world? Why did Facebook succeed when other social networking sites failed? Did the surge in Iraq really lead to less violence? How much can CEO’s i
定價:910 元, 優惠價:79 719
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約30-45天)
Everything Is Obvious ─ Once You Know the Answer
滿額折
作者:Duncan J. Watts  出版社:Random House Inc  出版日:2012/06/26 裝訂:平裝
Why is the Mona Lisa the most famous painting in the world? Why did Facebook succeed when other social networking sites failed? Did the surge in Iraq really lead to less violence? How much can CEO’s i
定價:595 元, 優惠價:79 470
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約30-45天)
Life is Magic
滿額折
作者:Meg McLaren  出版社:Andersen Press UK  出版日:2017/02/02 裝訂:平裝
Magician Monsieur Lapin is auditioning assistants and Houdini the rabbit is the obvious choice - he loves magic and knows how to take care of everyone and everything in the theatre. So one night when
定價:384 元, 優惠價:79 303
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約45-60天)
Life is Magic
作者:Meg McLaren  出版社:Andersen Press UK  出版日:2016/03/03 裝訂:精裝
Magician Monsieur Lapin is auditioning assistants and Houdini the rabbit is the obvious choice - he loves magic and knows how to take care of everyone and everything in the theatre. So one night when things go wrong, Houdini tries to carry on with the show...and unfortunately that spells rabbit-shaped disaster for his human magician.
缺貨無法訂購
What Is Sustainable ― Remembering Our Way Home
作者:Richard Reese  出版社:Createspace  出版日:2011/09/03 裝訂:平裝
A hurricane called Peak Everything is rapidly approaching, and we are not prepared for it. Looking through doom-colored glasses, the future appears turbulent and chaotic, for obvious reasons. But wh
定價:763 元, 優惠價:1 763
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約30-45天)
The River of Light ― Jewish Mystical Awareness
作者:Lawrence Kushner  出版社:Jewish Lights Pub  出版日:2000/11/01 裝訂:平裝
“Despite the obvious contradictions, complexity, and apparent randomness that assault any human being day after day, everything is somehow nevertheless
定價:848 元, 優惠價:1 848
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約30-45天)
The Business of Sports
滿額折
作者:Brad R. Humphreys (EDT); Dennis Ramsay Howard (EDT)  出版社:Praeger Pub Text  出版日:2008/06/30 裝訂:精裝
The sports industry is large, visible, and growing--and it has a huge impact on society. That's obvious to die-hard fans who not only watch sporting events but buy everything from balls to ties to pa
定價:14850 元, 優惠價:79 11732
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約30-45天)
Cherry Bomb: The Ultimate Guide to Becoming a Better Flirt, a Tougher Chick, and a Hotter Girlfriend, and to Living Life Like a Rock Star
滿額折
作者:Carrie Borzillo-vrenna  出版社:Simon Spotlight Entertainment  出版日:2008/08/05 裝訂:精裝
Not for the faint of heart, Cherry Bomb is an A-to-Z reference for everything awesome a girl needs to know, including the obvious (style, beauty, dating, and sex tips) and the not-so-obvious (instruc
定價:663 元, 優惠價:79 524
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約30-45天)
Thank You Fossil Fuels and Good Night ─ The 21st Century's Energy Transition
滿額折
作者:Gregory Meehan  出版社:Univ of Utah Pr  出版日:2017/06/30 裝訂:平裝
Everything is subject to a lifecycle. In the field of energy, the obvious question is, “Where are we in the lifecycle of fossil fuels?” Competitive technology for sourcing renewable energy, marketplac
定價:873 元, 優惠價:1 873
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約30-45天)
Conversations on Quantum Gravity
滿額折
作者:Jácome (Jay) Armas  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  出版日:2021/08/31 裝訂:精裝
The holy grail of theoretical physics is to find the theory of everything that combines all the forces of nature, including gravity. This book addresses the question: how far are we from such discovery? Over the last few decades, multiple roads to finding a quantum theory of gravity have been proposed but no obvious description of nature has emerged in this domain. What is to be made of this situation? This volume probes the state-of-the art in this daunting quest of theoretical physics by collecting critical interviews with nearly forty leading theorists in this field. These broad-ranging conversations give important insights and candid opinions on the various approaches to quantum gravity, including string theory, loop quantum gravity, causal set theory and asymptotic safety. This unique, readable overview provides a gateway into cutting edge research for students and others who wish to engage with the open problem of quantum gravity.
定價:2599 元, 優惠價:9 2339
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約45-60天)
Minghella Plays
滿額折
作者:Anthony Minghella  出版社:Bloomsbury USA Academic  出版日:2003/07/01 裝訂:平裝
Anthony Minghella's writing "sets a standard of emotional truth and clarity so sublimely high that everything around it looks stale, flat, tawdry and obvious"—The TimesWhale Music is: "genuinely tende
定價:1198 元, 優惠價:9 1078
無庫存,下單後進貨(到貨天數約30-45天)

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