Deterring terrorism is best approached as part of a broad effort to influence all elements of a terrorist system, and simple, conceptual models of decisionmaking can help in understanding how to affec
Defense analysis can better serve policymakers by exploiting improvements in the state of the art and by rediscovering and supplementing classic principles. These relate to multiple objectives and hed
Drawing from more detailed accounts, describes battles from Egyptian campaigns in the 15th century BC to Desert Storm. They were selected for bringing about important political or social changes or ma
Using examples from strategic planning, acquisition management, logistics, manpower, crisis decisionmaking, and organization and management, this monograph summarizes 20 years of RAND's uncertainty an
"The personality of a general is indispensable," Napoleon once said. "He is the head, he is the all, of an army." In Masters of the Battlefield, Paul K. Davis offers vivid portraits of fifteen legenda
From ancient times to the present, great sieges have had an enormous impact on the shaping of world history. Now, in this spectacular, fully-illustrated volume, one hundred of the world's most monumen
From the ancient Egyptian battle at Megiddo in 1469 BC to the recent military actions in Iraq, great battles have had an enormous impact on the shaping of history. Now, in this fully illustrated book,
This report is a reference manual and user's guide for RAND's Portfolio Analysis Tool (PAT), a spreadsheet-based software application for facilitating decisions dealing with uncertainty and different
This report builds on earlier RAND research that used qualitative conceptual causal models called “factor trees” to identify the factors that contribute to aspects of terrorism or insurgency and how t
Numerous commentators have suggested that deterrence does not work against terrorist organizations manned by foot soldiers willing to die for the cause. Although largely agreeing with this assessment,
The authors argue that the United States is entering a period of discontinuity in its defense planning, something that future historians may see as a planning crisis. The causes are technology diffusi
This report describes an approach to high-level decision support that deals explicitly with uncertainty in effects-based operations or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based pla
An analytical framework and methodology for capability-area reviews is described, along with new tools to support capabilities analysis and strategic-level defense planning in the Defense Department a
This book will be of interest to engineers in program management and other disciplines who need to understand issues associated with modeling and simulation for the development and operation of space
Social-behavioral modeling is famously hard. This report examines shortcomings and obstacles—some inherent to complex adaptive systems broadly and some due to current methods and practices&mdash
Reviews the scientific literature relating to observable behavioral indicators that might, along with other information, help detect potential violent attacks, such as those by suicide terrorists or t
Presents research on methods for heterogeneous information fusion—combining data that are qualitative, subjective, fuzzy, ambiguous, contradictory, and even deceptive, in order to form a realistic ass
Using and testing a conceptual model that draws on social science and particularly social movement theory, this volume examines public support for al-Qa’ida’s transnational jihadist movement, the Tali
This monograph surveys and integrates scholarly social-science literature relevant to counterterrorism. It draws from numerous disciplines and then uses high-level conceptual models to pull the pieces
Situational and tactical factors, which are usually treated only in complex models, strongly influence the effectiveness of long-range precision weapons in interdicting a moving armored column. This s
