FORESIGHT PUBN

FOREWORDAt the beginning of 2024, I was invited to contribute to a project focused on women who engage in futures thinking and foresight. As a cornerstone of the project, a seminarwas planned to celebrateInternational Women’s Day. In preparation for the event, a vibrant exchange unfolded in a WhatsApp group. Participants, including myself, posed questions, suggested sessions, and explored shared concerns and interests. The following were some of the questions raised:• Why do so many people, who agree with the principles of feminism, hesitate to identify themselves as feminists?• What does feminism signify in 2024?• How should we define it?• Can individuals of genders other than women be feminists?• Is feminism still relevant, or is it considered passé?• Does the concept of feminism require rebranding?• Should we discuss feminism in the singular or feminismS in the plural?• Are we now closer to achieving the central feminist vision of an equitable

一般大眾初學者以淺顯圖文介紹最新都市規劃科學的內涵都市規劃是一門正在演進的學科，然而學界及業界中相對少的人認識到這是一門科學。這本書彙整了作者過去35年來的研究成果，從複雜學的觀點以相對淺顯的圖文來說明都市規劃科學的內涵。自從2019年底新冠肺炎疫情席捲全球的都市後，正顯示出只有人們才是都市的靈魂，沒有考慮「人」的都市規劃是落空的。本書所介紹的都市規劃科學便是以「人」為出發點，探討社會科學針對人類選擇行為的解釋與自然科學針對複雜系統的理解，並將兩者整合成一系統性的都市規劃現象的描述與解釋。2021年諾貝爾物理學獎頒給三位從事複雜系統研究的學者，正說明了複雜學已獲得最高學術殿堂的認可。希望本書的出版能對有志探索人類如何面對都市複雜性的學術或專業規劃師有所幫助。■ 自序現代科學正進行著一場顛覆性的複雜性運動或革命，而這個運動或革命正在或已經影響了社會科學及自然科學許多領域的發展，包括都市規劃。因此，學界對都市及規劃的理解也產生了變化：都市不再是簡單的均衡系統，而是複雜的非均衡系統；規劃從過去強調空間、共識及控制的靜態描述轉而著重時間、結盟及計畫的動態過程(Hopkins, 2014)。此外學者也認為應用大數據及數位孿生的電腦科技從事都市規劃，仍然離不開以複雜性科學來理解都市的理論。尤有甚者，筆者在2018 年發現了四個I 與規劃作用及複雜性的邏輯關係，將規劃的概念與複雜性科學聯繫起來。四個I 表示都市發展決策的相關性(Interdependence)、不可逆性(Indivisibility)、不可分割性(Indivisibility) 以及不完全預見性(Imperfect Foresight)( 詳見本書第三章第五節)。具體而言，規劃發生作用為四個I 的充分條件，而四個I 又是複雜性的充分條件，因此規劃發生作用是複雜性的充分條件(Lai, 2018)。用一般的話來講，計畫在複雜系統中發生作用，但不是唯一的方式。這個發現也確立了四個I 與規劃及複雜度的關係；亦即四個I 同時是規劃投資及複雜度的指標，而這個邏輯關係貫穿了本書的理論架構。我書Planning within Complex Urban Systems (Lai, 2021) 及其姊妹作《複雜城市系統中的規劃原理：新觀點、新邏輯與新實驗》( 賴世剛，2022) 系統地整理了筆者過去35 年來的核心研究心得，以完整

How do attempts to foresee the future actually change it? For thousands of years, humans have called upon foresight to shape their own actions in order to adapt and survive; as Charles Darwin revealed in his theory of natural selection, the capacity to do just that is key to the origin of species. The uses of foresight, however, can also be applied to help us further our understanding across a variety of realms in everything from warfare, journalism and music, to ancient civilizations, space weather and science. In a thought-provoking new addition to the Darwin College Lecture Series, eight distinguished authors each present an essay from their area of expertise devoted to the theme of 'foresight'. This provocative read reveals foresight as a process that can be identified across all areas of human endeavour, an art which can not only predict the future, but make it anything but inevitable.

Foresight for Organizations will acquaint the reader with various foresight methods and tools, to show the reader how these methods are used, what the pitfalls are and how the methods relate to each o

Foresight has an especially important role in times of transition and trouble. In times of turbulence foresight arises as a tool for intellectual freedom and enhanced strategic leverage. But foresight

This book develops foresight techniques to turn future societal challenges into opportunities. The authors present foresight approaches for innovation policy and management. Future deve

The essays in Energy, Foresight and Strategy apply rational expectation theory to various energy markets with the intention of discussing issues relevant to analysis and decision making in the whole o

Foresight is an area within Futures Studies that focuses on critical thinking concerning long term developments, whether within the public sector or in industry and management, and is something of a s

Strategic foresight is traditionally associated with the military and politics. Tuomo Kuosa looks at its development into a method of generating analyses of alternative futures and strategies, based o

Since the early 1990s interest in foresight has undergone one of its periodic resurgences and has led to a rapid growth in formal foresight studies backed by governments and transnational institutions

This book brings together contributions from scholars across Europe to present findings from a foresight analysis exercise on audiences and audience analysis, looking towards an increasingly datafied

Many inquiry reports blame management for their failures of foresight. These reports are based on the premise that, with a little more thought, these oversights, and so the crisis, would have been avo

?Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and s

The main objective of this book is to acquaint the reader with various foresight methods, to show the reader how these methods are used, what the pitfalls are and how the methods relate to each other.

Many inquiry reports blame managers for the failures of foresight. These reports are founded on the premise that, with a little more thought, these oversights, which enabled the crisis to occur, would

Foresight is an area within Futures Studies that focuses on critical thinking concerning long term developments, whether within the public sector or in industry and management, and is something of a s

With a focus on the automobile industry, this study provides an overview of the basics of strategic foresight and the differences that multinational enterprises (MNEs) have to deal with while working

Foresight and Innovation: How are Companies Coping with the Future? is a concise guide for readers that are interested in their personal or their organization's future. Written by Finnish futurist Eli

Wireless Foresight deals with the development of the wireless communications industry and technology during the coming ten to fifteen years. Telecommunications is a global business of enormous proport

The book begins with a section delving into foresight analysis, strategic foresight, and scenario planning. It then examines the pressing contexts and most wicked problems facing future leaders rangin

?The book gives practical guidance for policy makers, analysts and researchers on how to make the most of the potential of Foresight studies. Based on the concept of evidence-based policy-making, Fore

?The book gives practical guidance for policy makers, analysts and researchers on how to make the most of the potential of Foresight studies. Based on the concept of evidence-based policy-making, Fore

The faculty at the University of Houston's program in Futures Studies share their comprehensive, integrated approach to preparing foresight professionals and assisting others doing foresight projects.

Today we all face more impossible challenges than ever before. But flash foresight lets you transform the impossible into the possible, revealing hidden opportunities and allowing you to solve your

This Element infuses established scenario planning routines with an exploration of cognitive reasoning, by contextualising scenario thinking within the wider human endeavour of grappling with future uncertainties. A study of ancient civilisations shows that scenario thinking is not new, but has evolved significantly since ancient times. By de-coupling scenario thinking from scenario planning, it is elevated as the essential ingredient in managerial foresight projects. The historical theme continues, focussing on the evolution of modern scenario planning, by way of the French and Anglo-American schools of thought, using the intuitive logics methodology. Archival research has discovered early contributions in the UK around the development and use of scenario thinking in public policy, which has been overlooked in many received histories. Finally, the usefulness of scenario thinking for strategic management is challenged here and the argument that it is a heuristic device for overcoming c

Cosmosis and Amina, the new young superpowered crimefighters of Youngstown,Ohio, are at war with the Foresight Corporation in order to rescue kidnappedteenagers with extraordinary abilities. With th

Trouble always seems to find Stone Barrington, but with his debonair charm, unflappable composure, and cunning foresight, he always gets his man (and his lady....).

Micha Hirschinger emphasizes the importance of foresight on logisticsand institutions in particular for effective decision making as distinctresearch in this context is limited. He applies a systemati

Asheville, known for its architectural diversity and intriguing Art Deco style, has been fortunate in attracting brilliant architects who, with imaginative foresight and design expertise, have created

Cardinal Patrick O'Boyle (1896-1987) is largely remembered as the controversial leader of the Archdiocese of Washington during its first, formative quarter century. Combining considerable foresight ab