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Fly Fishing the Stock Market ─ How to Search, Catch, and Net the Market's Best Trades
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商品簡介
How the strategies and tactics of fly fishing can translate to improved trading performance
Much like trading, successful fly fishing requires both an understanding of "big picture" conditions and the ability to implement tactical techniques to actually catch the fish. In Fly Fishing the Stock Market, Dr. Stephen Morris compares his method for trading stocks with his favorite past time, fly fishingproviding fresh insights into his successful trading approach. Engaging and accessible, this book skillfully describes how Morris applied this approach to generate an astounding 268% growth in his account in the volatile and confusing, post-financial crisis markets.
Morris explains how he uses technical indicators to determine what he calls the "market season" and how he then zeros in on individual stock patterns to make his trades. He also reveals unique tools, such as the Market Timing Monitor and Weather Station, which give him a sense of the market's long-term condition and provides the basis for his trading and risk management strategies.
* Filled with the authenticity of a real trader figuring out how to uncover profitable trading opportunities
* A companion Website contains supplementary material that allows you to learn in a hands-on fashion long after closing the book
* Provides a compelling portrait of how a successful trader thinks about markets, develops a method, and then implements the method in real time
* The author's spectacular returns are backed by publicly documented records
Just like fly fishing, traders must adjust their approach constantly because market conditions constantly change. This book will help you achieve this elusive goal, and capture consistent profits in the process.
Much like trading, successful fly fishing requires both an understanding of "big picture" conditions and the ability to implement tactical techniques to actually catch the fish. In Fly Fishing the Stock Market, Dr. Stephen Morris compares his method for trading stocks with his favorite past time, fly fishingproviding fresh insights into his successful trading approach. Engaging and accessible, this book skillfully describes how Morris applied this approach to generate an astounding 268% growth in his account in the volatile and confusing, post-financial crisis markets.
Morris explains how he uses technical indicators to determine what he calls the "market season" and how he then zeros in on individual stock patterns to make his trades. He also reveals unique tools, such as the Market Timing Monitor and Weather Station, which give him a sense of the market's long-term condition and provides the basis for his trading and risk management strategies.
* Filled with the authenticity of a real trader figuring out how to uncover profitable trading opportunities
* A companion Website contains supplementary material that allows you to learn in a hands-on fashion long after closing the book
* Provides a compelling portrait of how a successful trader thinks about markets, develops a method, and then implements the method in real time
* The author's spectacular returns are backed by publicly documented records
Just like fly fishing, traders must adjust their approach constantly because market conditions constantly change. This book will help you achieve this elusive goal, and capture consistent profits in the process.
作者簡介
STEPHEN MORRIS is one of the top performing traders of Alexander Elder's SpikeTrade Group, generating a gain of 264% in his SpikeTrade equity during the turbulent and confusing markets of 20082010. He has been a guest instructor at an Elder-sponsored trading camp and operates a blog, Fly Fishing the Stock Market, which contains his Weathervane (Market Timing Monitor), weekly and daily market forecasts, along with commentary on long- and short-term buy signals and specific market patterns. Dr. Morris has been trading since 1998.
目次
Foreword
Introduction
Part One: Fly-Fishing Lessons
Chapter 1: Three Ps in a Pod
Passion
Patience
Persistence
Chapter 2: The Tackle Box
What Goes Into the Toolbox
Bar Charts and Candlesticks—Same Markets, Different Angles
Bullish and Bearish Engulfing Patterns
Trendlines
Tops
Bottoms
False Breakouts
Gaps
Triangles
Volume
Computerized Indicators
Moving Averages
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
The Impulse System
Force Index
Conclusion
Chapter 3: Developing Your Technique
Analytical Tools and Steps
Understanding Entry Orders
Conclusion
Chapter 4: Expectations
Why Managed Funds Can Be “Dilutional”
Conclusion
Part Two: Expect the Unexpected
Chapter 5: Seeing is not Believing
Getting Trapped at the Extreme Edge
Conclusion
Chapter 6: The Art of Deception
When the Prey Is Exhausted
The Deceptions of V-Bottoms
The Deceptions of Symmetrical Triangles
The Deceptions of Ascending Triangles
The Deceptions of Head-and-Shoulders
The Deceptions of Breakouts
Conclusion
Part Three: Time to Go FISHing
Chapter 7: Fishing Seasons/Market Seasons
Market Seasons
The Influence of Volatility
Monitoring Market Season Changes
The Weathervane – A Market Timing Monitor
The Weather Station
Adding the Detail of Price Patterns to Strengthen the Message
Conclusion
Chapter 8: Matching the Hatch
Bottom Patterns
Pull-Back Patterns
Top Patterns
Pull-Up Patterns
The Symmetrical Triangle: An All-Around General-Purpose Pattern
Conclusion
Chapter 9: Terrestrials and Cut Banks
Fundamental Analysis
Using Fundamentals to Complement Technical Analysis
A Disconnect Between Technicals and Fundamentals
Fundamentals on Fire: Momentum Trading
Chasing the Big Ones
Conclusion
Chapter 10: Catch and Release
Setting the Hook with the Strike Indicator (Entry)
The Strike Indicator Entry Steps
Snag Management (Stop-Loss)
The Drag System (Trade Management/Profit Exit)
Examples of Drag Settings
Exit to Enter?
Conclusion
Chapter 11: A Word about Bait Fishing
Daily Bait-N-Wait
Weekly Bait-N-Wait
Monthly Bait-N-Wait
Conclusion
Part Four: Fishing Journal
Chapter 12: The Trophy Room
Neckline Break....Up
9/28/09
The January Effect
1/05/10
A Gem in the Junk Pile
1/1/10
Greater Fool Trade
4/17/10
The Perfect Storm
2/5/10
Time of Possession
08/14/10
W-Bottom
09/11/10
Logical Entry and Exit – Long ENTR
09/11/10
Conclusion
Chapter 13: The One That Got Away
GLF Trade
JTX Trade
RMBS Trade
Conclusion
Chapter 14: The Structure of Success
The Building Blocks Concept
Conclusion
Appendix A: My Trading Journal
Appendix B: Table of Indicator Sets
References
About the Author
About the Website
Introduction
Part One: Fly-Fishing Lessons
Chapter 1: Three Ps in a Pod
Passion
Patience
Persistence
Chapter 2: The Tackle Box
What Goes Into the Toolbox
Bar Charts and Candlesticks—Same Markets, Different Angles
Bullish and Bearish Engulfing Patterns
Trendlines
Tops
Bottoms
False Breakouts
Gaps
Triangles
Volume
Computerized Indicators
Moving Averages
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
The Impulse System
Force Index
Conclusion
Chapter 3: Developing Your Technique
Analytical Tools and Steps
Understanding Entry Orders
Conclusion
Chapter 4: Expectations
Why Managed Funds Can Be “Dilutional”
Conclusion
Part Two: Expect the Unexpected
Chapter 5: Seeing is not Believing
Getting Trapped at the Extreme Edge
Conclusion
Chapter 6: The Art of Deception
When the Prey Is Exhausted
The Deceptions of V-Bottoms
The Deceptions of Symmetrical Triangles
The Deceptions of Ascending Triangles
The Deceptions of Head-and-Shoulders
The Deceptions of Breakouts
Conclusion
Part Three: Time to Go FISHing
Chapter 7: Fishing Seasons/Market Seasons
Market Seasons
The Influence of Volatility
Monitoring Market Season Changes
The Weathervane – A Market Timing Monitor
The Weather Station
Adding the Detail of Price Patterns to Strengthen the Message
Conclusion
Chapter 8: Matching the Hatch
Bottom Patterns
Pull-Back Patterns
Top Patterns
Pull-Up Patterns
The Symmetrical Triangle: An All-Around General-Purpose Pattern
Conclusion
Chapter 9: Terrestrials and Cut Banks
Fundamental Analysis
Using Fundamentals to Complement Technical Analysis
A Disconnect Between Technicals and Fundamentals
Fundamentals on Fire: Momentum Trading
Chasing the Big Ones
Conclusion
Chapter 10: Catch and Release
Setting the Hook with the Strike Indicator (Entry)
The Strike Indicator Entry Steps
Snag Management (Stop-Loss)
The Drag System (Trade Management/Profit Exit)
Examples of Drag Settings
Exit to Enter?
Conclusion
Chapter 11: A Word about Bait Fishing
Daily Bait-N-Wait
Weekly Bait-N-Wait
Monthly Bait-N-Wait
Conclusion
Part Four: Fishing Journal
Chapter 12: The Trophy Room
Neckline Break....Up
9/28/09
The January Effect
1/05/10
A Gem in the Junk Pile
1/1/10
Greater Fool Trade
4/17/10
The Perfect Storm
2/5/10
Time of Possession
08/14/10
W-Bottom
09/11/10
Logical Entry and Exit – Long ENTR
09/11/10
Conclusion
Chapter 13: The One That Got Away
GLF Trade
JTX Trade
RMBS Trade
Conclusion
Chapter 14: The Structure of Success
The Building Blocks Concept
Conclusion
Appendix A: My Trading Journal
Appendix B: Table of Indicator Sets
References
About the Author
About the Website
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