商品簡介
Financial markets never shift by chance. Behind every crisis, every rally, and every sudden change in sentiment lie profound macro-financial dynamics that few investors truly understand. In a world marked by economic instability, global financialization, and increasing systemic shocks, understanding the markets requires much more than just following stock market indices. It is necessary to be able to decipher Risk-On and Risk-Off regimes, those phases when risk appetite takes hold... and then disappears. This book offers a clear and practical framework for interpreting macro-financial cycles based on indicators actually used by professionals: US long-term interest rates, market volatility, the dollar, credit spreads, and sector rotation. By combining these signals within a synthetic Risk-On/Risk-Off scoring model, this book shows how to identify market shifts before they become visible in equities. The results highlight an essential reality: it is the credit, interest rate, and currency markets that signal systemic tensions, while volatility and equity markets merely confirm them. At the crossroads of macroeconomics, finance, and risk management, this book offers a concrete method for: - understand financial cycles, - anticipate periods of stress, - managing risk exposure, - and reading the markets with a structured Global Macro approach. More than an academic analysis, it is a real tool for reading the contemporary financial world, intended for investors, analysts, and decision-makers who no longer want to be at the mercy of the markets... but want to understand them.
