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Calling Bullshit

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Calling Bullshit: The Art of Skepticism in a Data-Driven World
滿額折
出版日:2021/04/20 作者:Carl T. Bergstrom  出版社:Random House  裝訂:平裝
Bullshit isn't what it used to be. Now, two science professors give us the tools to dismantle misinformation and think clearly in a world of fake news and bad data. "A modern classic . . . a straight-talking survival guide to the mean streets of a dying democracy and a global pandemic."--Wired Misinformation, disinformation, and fake news abound and it's increasingly difficult to know what's true. Our media environment has become hyperpartisan. Science is conducted by press release. Startup culture elevates bullshit to high art. We are fairly well equipped to spot the sort of old-school bullshit that is based in fancy rhetoric and weasel words, but most of us don't feel qualified to challenge the avalanche of new-school bullshit presented in the language of math, science, or statistics. In Calling Bullshit, Professors Carl Bergstrom and Jevin West give us a set of powerful tools to cut through the most intimidating data. You don't need a lot of technical expertise to call out problems
優惠:外文書周末優惠-單79雙75 優惠價: 79 601
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Calling Bullshit
滿額折
出版日:2020/08/04 作者:Jevin D. West; Carl T. Bergstrom  出版社:Allen Lane UK  裝訂:平裝
We think we know bullshit when we hear it, but do we? A spotter's guide to bullshit in the wild from two brilliantly contrarian scientistsThe world is awash in bullshit, and we're drowning in it. Poli
優惠:外文書周末優惠-單79雙75 優惠價: 79 651
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出版日:2020/08/04 作者:Carl Bergstrom  出版社:Random House  裝訂:平裝
It's not just fake news. Bullshit is everywhere. Now, two science professors give us the tools to dismantle misinformation and think clearly in a data-saturated world.The world is awash in bullshit, a
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Calling Bullshit:The Art of Scepticism in a Data-Driven World
滿額折
出版日:2021/08/05 作者:Jevin D. West; Carl T. Bergstrom  出版社:Penguin Books Ltd  裝訂:平裝
'A necessary book for our times. But also just great fun' Saul Perlmutter, Nobel LaureateThe world is awash in bullshit, and we're drowning in it. Politicians are unconstrained by facts.Science is conducted by press release. Start-up culture elevates hype to high art. These days, calling bullshit is a noble act.Based on a popular course at the University of Washington, Calling Bullshit gives us the tools to see through the obfuscations, deliberate and careless, that dominate every realm of our lives. In this lively guide, biologist Carl Bergstrom and statistician Jevin West show that calling bullshit is crucial to a properly functioning social group, whether it be a circle of friends, a community of researchers, or the citizens of a nation. Through six rules of thumb, they help us recognize bullshit whenever and wherever we encounter it - even within ourselves - and explain it to a crystal-loving aunt or casually racist grandfather.
優惠:外文書周末優惠-單79雙75 優惠價: 79 478
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數據的假象:數據識讀是深度偽造時代最重要的思辨素養,聰明決策不被操弄
79 折
出版日:2022/06/01 作者:卡爾‧伯格斯特姆; 杰文‧威斯特  出版社:天下雜誌  裝訂:平裝
☆三位諾貝爾獎得主重磅推薦☆Amazon 800位讀者好評分享高度量化時代,數字絕對更會騙人,騙更大!統計、圖表、懶人包,常是理性裝扮的鬼扯,點贊、分享、演算法,助長類事實瘋傳成禍。掌握數據的底層邏輯,洞悉科學量化包裝術,資訊批判思考力,是最強自我保護力!★經匯率調整,敝公司績效最佳的全球型基金在過去九年中有七年優於大盤。★儘管在統計上未達顯著,本研究結果凸顯此標靶質子治療具臨床重要之效果量,挑戰了現行的治療典範。類似上面的敘述,你可能也看過,是不是躍躍欲試?別興奮得太早。你發現了嗎,上面的敘述完全沒說收益表現的調整方法究竟是什麼?有幾檔基金表現不如大盤?差多少?九年中有七年表現優於大盤的是同一檔基金嗎?另外,具臨床重要性卻未達統計顯著的研究結果,到底代表什麼?數學、統計與科學都是理性、客觀、精確的代表,但也是資訊時代更容易操弄人心的騙術,而且更難被識破!有圖有照片不一定有真相,數字表格簡單清楚其實更容易藏貓膩,大數據陷阱多多更容易扯大謊。如何偵測科學鬼扯?如何識破數據資料不合邏輯的破綻?是現在深度偽造時代非常重要的自保能力。兩位作者在華盛頓大學開設同名課程,受到極高的討論和迴響,他們運用統計與生物學領域的專精知識和經驗,以生動幽默的方式,拆解取樣偏誤與數據資料數位化混淆視聽的案例,檢視我們的生活多麼容易受到各類數據假象的影響。只要善用本書的思考方式,人人都能察覺資料有問題,拆穿假象:◎圖表可能誤導:正統圖表看來無趣又複雜,如果刻意將縱軸上下顛倒,柱狀圖的條形不從0點開始呢?大眾可能被誤導而不自知。媒體只想提高點擊率,有趣或吸引注意力比正確性重要。◎數字會說謊:有可能算錯數量、小型取樣無法精確反映整體的特性、推算的程序與方法有誤,幫原本薄弱的主張建立可信度,成為散播謠言的載具。◎資料扭曲事實:新聞宣稱,科技公司市值在發布財報後,蒸發千億,還附上近四天股價走勢圖,若拉長至五年期來看,公司表現並不差。謠傳電視台因取消高收視節目而股價大跌,但是股價跌是在節目取消之前,節目收益是總營收的0.1%,有可能造成股價重挫2.5%?◎機器可能出錯:電腦可以分辨狼和哈士奇?演算法並非注意兩者的面部特徵,而是從狼和雪景一起出現來判斷,但如果是在雪中的哈士奇呢?人工智慧的判斷會出現偏誤。★好評推薦Jenny |「JC財經觀點」版主呂昱達|丹尼老師的公民教室&nbs
優惠:三民書局73週年慶 優惠價: 79 379
庫存:4
出版日:2020/08/04 作者:Carl T. Bergstrom; Jevin D. West  出版社:Random House  裝訂:精裝
It’s not just fake news. Bullshit is everywhere. Now, two science professors give us the tools to dismantle misinformation and think clearly in a data-saturated world.The world is awash in bullshit, a
Muscle Mutilation ― How I Gained 26 Pounds of Lean Muscle in 3 Weeks
滿額折
出版日:2014/10/15 作者:Stone Paul  出版社:Createspace Independent Pub  裝訂:平裝
Warning : This Is No Game For Sissies!So let me guess…The word ”Bullshit!” was the first thing that popped into your head after reading the cover of my book. Believe me, I get it. I grew up calling my
定價:1100 元
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