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《雜訊》由《快思慢想》與《推力》作者聯手打造，是一本顛覆思維、改變決策方式的作品。書中揭示：在看似理性客觀的判斷中，隱藏著一種被忽略的干擾——雜訊。兩位醫師對相同病人給出不同診斷、兩位法官對相同罪行給出不同刑期，這些差異背後，其實是潛藏的決策偏差。本書結合理論、案例與實驗，深刻剖析雜訊如何潛藏於醫療、司法、人資、商業與公共政策之中，並提供具體方法，幫助個人與組織有效降低誤判風險。The Sunday Times bestseller'A monumental, gripping book ... Outstanding' Sunday TimesWherever there is human judgement, there is noise.'Noise may be the most important book I've read in more than a decade. A genuinely new idea so exceedingly important you will immediately put it into practice.A masterpiece'Angela Duckworth, author of Grit'An absolutely brilliant investigation of a massive societal problem that has been hiding in plain sight'Steven Levitt, co-author of FreakonomicsFrom the world-leaders in strategic thinking and the multi-million copy bestselling authors of Thinking Fast and Slow and Nudge, the next big book to change the way you think. Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients - or that two judges in the same court give different sente

NOW A MAJOR MOTION PICTURE STARRING EDDIE REDMAYNE AND FELICITY JONESA GUARDIAN BEST BOOK OF THE YEARA NEW STATESMAN BEST BOOK OF THE YEARA DAILY TELEGRAPH BEST BOOK OF THE YEARA NEW REPUBLIC BEST BOO

‘The pampered, petulant, self-pitying Prince. A devastating book by Britain’s top investigative author’ Daily Mail‘Explosive new book delves inside the bizarre, ultra luxury world of Prince Charles’ T

Inspired by the fortunes and misfortunes of the Getty family, whose most extraordinary and troubled episode - the kidnap and ransom of grandson Paul Getty - is now a major motion picture, directed by

探討如何將電腦科學中的演算法原理應用到日常生活與人類決策中。作者結合心理學、認知科學與計算機科學，說明演算法不僅是電腦解題的工具，更是我們在面對生活難題時可借鑑的思考模型。本書涵蓋多種實用議題，透過演算法的視角來處理生活中的決策與權衡，例如：➤最佳停下時機（Optimal Stopping）：如何判斷在眾多選項中何時停止尋找並做出決定，如招聘或約會。➤探索與利用的平衡（Explore-Exploit Trade-off）：何時探索新機會，何時利用已知資源。➤排序與組織：提升查找效率的策略。➤快取管理：如何在有限記憶空間中有效保留重要資訊。➤工作排程與切換成本：如何管理多任務與優先順序。➤貝氏定理（Bayes's Rule）：結合先驗知識與新資訊做出推論。➤放寬問題限制：在無解或計算困難的情況下，尋求「夠好」的近似解。➤隨機性與資源管理：利用隨機策略在不確定環境下取得良好結果。➤網絡與遊戲理論：理解互動系統與多方利益的決策動態。書中強調，雖然演算法能為複雜問題提供指導，但現實生活中決策仍存在不確定性和失敗風險。重要的是採用合理的策略來面對時間與資源限制，並學習在不完美中作出最佳抉擇。該書還指出，人類在面對計算難題時，常能透過直覺和簡化模型達成驚人的表現。此書獲得廣泛好評，被譽為一本能讓人重新認識「演算法」不僅屬於科技領域，更是生活智慧的指導手冊。A fascinating exploration of how computer algorithms can be applied to our everyday lives. What should we do, or leave undone, in a day or a lifetime? Exploring how insights from computer algorithms can be applied to our everyday lives, 'Algorithms To Live By' helps to solve common decision-making problems and illuminate the workings of the human mind. When should you switch between different tasks, and how many tas

Written in the twilight of the Roman Republic, the poetry of Gaius Valerius Catullus offers a delicious insight into the passions and gossip of high Roman society.

Previously published as Naked Diplomacy. Who will be in power in the 21st century? Governments? Big business? Internet titans? And how do we influence the future? Digital technology is changing power

There are ingredients, and then there are Ingredients. An ingredient is what we're used to thinking about in the kitchen - things like tomatoes, tofu or thyme. An Ingredient is what those things are m

*THE NUMBER 1 BESTSELLER* What are the things we live for? What matters most in life when your time is short? This brave, frank and heartbreaking book shows what it means to die before your time; how

The unmissable account of Brexit, from political insider and bestselling author of All Out War, Tim Shipman. In this gripping account of Britain's brutal entanglement with Brexit

The Times Literary Non-Fiction Book of the Year 'A whip-smart, challenging book. It filled me with hope' Zadie Smith From one of the brigh

Orwell Prize-nominated journalist Heidi Blake uncovers exclusive details of Vladimir Putin's worldwide meddling with dissident voices. This is the explosive and true story of how Russia operates in ou

What pushed Blunt, Burgess, Cairncross, Maclean and Philby into Soviet hands?With access to recently released papers and other neglected documents, this sharp analysis of the intelligence world examin

An unprecedented history of the personality test conceived a century ago by a mother and her daughter – fiction writers with no formal training in psychology – and how it insinuated itself into our bo

‘Nevertheless, she persisted’has become a rallying cry for millions of those fed up with phony promises and governments that no longer serve their people. In this inspiring #1 New York Times bestselle

`Nevertheless, she persisted' has become a rallying cry for millions of those fed up with phony promises and governments that no longer serve their people. In this inspiring #1 New York Times bestsell

On the 500th anniversary of Luther's rebellion, this spectacular global history traces the revolutionary faith that shaped the modern world. Five hundred years ago Protestant Christianity began with o

The object of this book is to introduce readers to a whole range of military history which has all the drama, dangers, horrors and excitement that we associate with Stalingrad or the Somme. Battles ar

A new Pew Bible using the ESV translation, in British English, with a large typeface and lightweight design, with Burgundy cover The ESV Anglicised Pew Bible is a new edition of the world's fastest-gr

A new Pew Bible using the ESV translation, in British English, with a large typeface and lightweight design, with classic blue colour The ESV Anglicised Pew Bible is a new edition of the world's faste

With an attractive new slipcase and binding, this compact Bible is an ideal gift and spiritual companion. The full text of the ever-popular Authorized King James Version Bible, with all its literary b

With an attractive new slipcase and binding, this compact white Bible is an ideal gift for any special occasion, including confirmation, weddings or first communion. The full text of the ever-popular

Beautifully written and magnificently illustrated with photographs, line drawings and maps, this book serves both as a celebration of the richness of the British countryside, and as a warning of the l

About the Book Five years in the making, ‘Cameron at 10’ is the gripping inside story of the Cameron premiership, based on over 300 in-depth interviews with senior figures in 10 Downing Street, includ

From the Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist and bestselling author of 'Backlash', an astonishing confrontation with the enigma of her father and the larger riddle of identity consuming our age. "In the

From the hugely respected journalist Miranda Sawyer, a very modern look at the midlife crisis - delving into the truth, and lies, of the experience and how to survive it, with thoughtfulness, insight

The debut novel by a British writer with nearly two decades of African experience - a compelling courtroom drama and a gritty, aromatic evocation of place, inspired by recent events. British lawyer Pa

About the Book From one of our greatest science writers, this biography of a beech-and-bluebell wood through diverse moods and changing seasons combines stunning natural history with the ancient histo

From the Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist and bestselling author of 'Backlash', an astonishing confrontation with the enigma of her father and the larger riddle of identity consuming our age. "In the

An intimate portrait of Stephen Spender's extraordinary life written by Matthew Spender, shifting between memoir and biography, with new insights drawn from personal recollections and his father's cop

Experience the joy of discovering the natural world around you with this beautiful pocket guide to British birds, an inspiration and treat designed to enthral all nature lovers.

From the award-winning co-author of 'I Am Malala', this book asks just how the might of NATO, with 48 countries and 140,000 troops on the ground, failed to defeat a group of religious students and far

The social media secrets that experts and top professionals use. Get results fast with this quick, easy guide to the fundamentals of social media for business. Includes how to: * Plan * Promote * Post

The meetings secrets that experts and top professionals use. Get results fast with this quick, easy guide to the fundamentals of business meetings. Includes: * Why have meetings? * Prepare well for me

The communicating secrets that experts and top professionals use. Get results fast with this quick, easy guide to the fundamentals of communication for international business. Includes how to: * Liste

About the Book Reissued with a new foreword to mark the centenary of Harold Wilson’s birth, Ben Pimlott's classic biography combines scholarship and observation to illuminate the life and career of on

There are five races of tiger on our planet and all but one live in tropical regions: the Siberian Tiger Panthera tigris altaica is the exception. Mysterious and elusive, and with only 350 remaining i

A magisterial life of Ted Hughes - identified recently as the only English poet since the First World War with a claim to true greatness and one of Britain's most important writers - to be published o

About the Book The story of Emma and Carl Jung's highly unconventional marriage, their relationship with Freud, and their part in the early years of Psychoanalysis.Emma Jung was clever, ambitious and

Daisy Dunn's immediate narrative rediscovers the life and poetry of Gaius Valerius Catullus, Rome’s first ‘modern’ poet, a dandy who fell in love with another man's wife and made it known to the world