商品簡介
"It is rare to come across a book that can truly be called fascinating, but here is one."-New Scientist
Why Flip a Coin?
What's the best way to choose the right spouse? . . . How can I increase my chances of winning the office football pool? . . . By what process should I choose a candidate in the Senate race? . . . Could I possibly make more money playing poker instead of the stock market?
Using examples gleaned from everyday life, noted physicist H. W. Lewis explains what science has discovered about the rules that govern good-and not-so-good-decision making. Full of provocative insights into human psychology and behavior, Why Flip a Coin? will leave you laughing-even as you're learning.
"Should you read this book or not? If you don't read it you will surely miss out on Lewis's flinty wit and sharp sense of irony. The choice is clear. You needn't even flip a coin."-The Sciences
"Lighthearted but far from flippant."-Amazon.com (Science Editor's Recommended Book)
作者簡介
H. W. LEWIS, Professor Emeritus of Physics at the University of California, Santa Barbara, received the 1991 American Institute of Physics Science Writing Award for Technological Risk. He is a member of the Defense Science Board and the President's Nuclear Safety Oversight Committee.
目次
Basics: The First Cut.
The Dating Game.
Probability.
Gains and Losses.
Putting It All Together.
Stability: The Social Island.
The Prisoners' Dilemma.
Competitive Games.
A Paradox.
Rankings.
Voting.
Impossibility.
Protecting the Future.
Public Decisions.
Apportionment.
War: Lanchester's Law.
Fluctuations and Regression.
Investing: The Stock Market.
Gambling.
Sports-Mainly Baseball.
The Lady or the Tiger?
Law and Juries.
Intro Redux.
Index.
