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Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter
90 折
出版日:1991/02/28 作者:Andrew C. Harvey  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
In this book, Andrew Harvey sets out to provide a unified and comprehensive theory of structural time series models. Unlike the traditional ARIMA models, structural time series models consist explicitly of unobserved components, such as trends and seasonals, which have a direct interpretation. As a result the model selection methodology associated with structural models is much closer to econometric methodology. The link with econometrics is made even closer by the natural way in which the models can be extended to include explanatory variables and to cope with multivariate time series. From the technical point of view, state space models and the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of structural time series models. The book includes a detailed treatment of the Kalman filter. This technique was originally developed in control engineering, but is becoming increasingly important in fields such as economics and operations research. This book is concerned primarily wi
優惠價: 9 3041
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出版日:1990/10/26 作者:Kenneth Harburn  出版社:CRC Press UK  裝訂:精裝
Illustrates the use of systems such as in-process control, quality auditing, and specifications, stressing a troubleshooting, cost-effective approach to product packaging for maximized early lead time
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出版日:1990/02/22 作者:Andrew C. Harvey  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
In this book, Andrew Harvey sets out to provide a unified and comprehensive theory of structural time series models. Unlike the traditional ARIMA models, structural time series models consist explicitly of unobserved components, such as trends and seasonals, which have a direct interpretation. As a result the model selection methodology associated with structural models is much closer to econometric methodology. The link with econometrics is made even closer by the natural way in which the models can be extended to include explanatory variables and to cope with multivariate time series. From the technical point of view, state space models and the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of structural time series models. The book includes a detailed treatment of the Kalman filter. This technique was originally developed in control engineering, but is becoming increasingly important in fields such as economics and operations research. This book is concerned primarily wi
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出版日:1990/01/01 作者:Daniel R. Omstead (EDT)  出版社:CRC Press UK  裝訂:平裝
The purpose of this volume is to describe the components, assembly, and implementation of computer-based process control systems. Presented in two sections, it illustrates how such systems have been u
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Statistical Physics
滿額折
出版日:1987/07/01 作者:Gregory H. Wannier  出版社:Dover Pubns  裝訂:平裝
This classic text combines thermodynamics, statistical mechanics, and kinetic theory in a single unified presentation of thermal physics. The three-part treatment covers the principles of statistical
優惠價: 9 785
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出版日:2022/10/31 作者:Bradley Efron  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
During the past half-century, exponential families have attained a position at the center of parametric statistical inference. Theoretical advances have been matched, and more than matched, in the world of applications, where logistic regression by itself has become the go-to methodology in medical statistics, computer-based prediction algorithms, and the social sciences. This book is based on a one-semester graduate course for first year Ph.D. and advanced master's students. After presenting the basic structure of univariate and multivariate exponential families, their application to generalized linear models including logistic and Poisson regression is described in detail, emphasizing geometrical ideas, computational practice, and the analogy with ordinary linear regression. Connections are made with a variety of current statistical methodologies: missing data, survival analysis and proportional hazards, false discovery rates, bootstrapping, and empirical Bayes analysis. The book con
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Exponential Families in Theory and Practice
90 折
出版日:2022/10/31 作者:Bradley Efron  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
During the past half-century, exponential families have attained a position at the center of parametric statistical inference. Theoretical advances have been matched, and more than matched, in the world of applications, where logistic regression by itself has become the go-to methodology in medical statistics, computer-based prediction algorithms, and the social sciences. This book is based on a one-semester graduate course for first year Ph.D. and advanced master's students. After presenting the basic structure of univariate and multivariate exponential families, their application to generalized linear models including logistic and Poisson regression is described in detail, emphasizing geometrical ideas, computational practice, and the analogy with ordinary linear regression. Connections are made with a variety of current statistical methodologies: missing data, survival analysis and proportional hazards, false discovery rates, bootstrapping, and empirical Bayes analysis. The book con
優惠價: 9 1674
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Control Systems and Reinforcement Learning
滿額折
出版日:2022/05/31 作者:Sean Meyn  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
A high school student can create deep Q-learning code to control her robot, without any understanding of the meaning of 'deep' or 'Q', or why the code sometimes fails. This book is designed to explain the science behind reinforcement learning and optimal control in a way that is accessible to students with a background in calculus and matrix algebra. A unique focus is algorithm design to obtain the fastest possible speed of convergence for learning algorithms, along with insight into why reinforcement learning sometimes fails. Advanced stochastic process theory is avoided at the start by substituting random exploration with more intuitive deterministic probing for learning. Once these ideas are understood, it is not difficult to master techniques rooted in stochastic control. These topics are covered in the second part of the book, starting with Markov chain theory and ending with a fresh look at actor-critic methods for reinforcement learning.
優惠價: 9 2924
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出版日:2022/05/31 作者:V. Dhanya Ram  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
Most systems involved in a chemical process plant are interactive multivariable systems, to control which, the transfer function matrix model is required. This lucid book considers the identification and control of such systems. It discusses open loop and closed loop identification methods, as well as the design of multivariable controllers based on steady state gain matrix. Simple methods for designing controllers based on transfer function matrix model have been reviewed. The design of controllers for non-square systems, and closed loop identification of multivariable unstable systems by the optimization method are also covered. Several simulation examples and exercise problems at the end of each chapter further help the reader consolidate the knowledge gained. This book will be useful to any engineering student, researcher or practitioner who works with interactive, multivariable control systems.
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出版日:2022/04/10 作者:Patrick Obrien  出版社:Univ Pr of Kansas  裝訂:精裝
The US Constitution recognizes the president as the sole legal head of the executive branch. Despite this constitutional authority, the president's actual control over administration varies significantly in practice from one president to the next. Presidential Control over Administration provides a new approach for studying the presidency and policymaking that centers on this critical and often overlooked historical variable. To explain the different configurations of presidential control over administration that recur throughout history--collapse, innovation, stabilization, and constraint--O'Brien develops a new theory that incorporates historical variation in a combination of key restrictions such as time, knowledge, and the structure of government as well as key incentives such as providing acceptable performance and implementing preferred policies. O'Brien then tests the argument by tracing the policymaking process in the domain of public finance across nearly a century of history,
優惠價: 1 3599
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Statistical Methods for Climate Scientists
90 折
出版日:2021/12/31 作者:Timothy DelSole  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
A comprehensive introduction to the most commonly used statistical methods relevant in atmospheric, oceanic and climate sciences. Each method is described step-by-step using plain language, and illustrated with concrete examples, with relevant statistical and scientific concepts explained as needed. Particular attention is paid to nuances and pitfalls, with sufficient detail to enable the reader to write relevant code. Topics covered include hypothesis testing, time series analysis, linear regression, data assimilation, extreme value analysis, Principal Component Analysis, Canonical Correlation Analysis, Predictable Component Analysis, and Covariance Discriminant Analysis. The specific statistical challenges that arise in climate applications are also discussed, including model selection problems associated with Canonical Correlation Analysis, Predictable Component Analysis, and Covariance Discriminant Analysis. Requiring no previous background in statistics, this is a highly accessibl
優惠價: 9 3078
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Computer Age Statistical Inference, Student Edition
滿額折
出版日:2021/06/30 作者:Bradley Efron  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
The twenty-first century has seen a breathtaking expansion of statistical methodology, both in scope and influence. 'Data science' and 'machine learning' have become familiar terms in the news, as statistical methods are brought to bear upon the enormous data sets of modern science and commerce. How did we get here? And where are we going? How does it all fit together? Now in paperback and fortified with exercises, this book delivers a concentrated course in modern statistical thinking. Beginning with classical inferential theories - Bayesian, frequentist, Fisherian - individual chapters take up a series of influential topics: survival analysis, logistic regression, empirical Bayes, the jackknife and bootstrap, random forests, neural networks, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, inference after model selection, and dozens more. The distinctly modern approach integrates methodology and algorithms with statistical inference. Each chapter ends with class-tested exercises, and the book concludes wit
優惠價: 9 1754
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出版日:2021/02/28 作者:Richard S. Marken  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
This book is a guide to doing a new kind of psychological research that focuses on the purposes rather than the causes of behavior. The research methods described here are based on a theory of behaviour called Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) that views organisms as purposeful rather than mechanical systems. According to PCT, purposeful behaviour involves acting to control perceptual input variables. Thus, understanding the purposeful behaviour of living organisms is a matter of determining the perceptual variables they are controlling when they are carrying out various behaviors. This book outlines research methods that determine what perceptual variables an organism is controlling, how it controls those variables, and why. It also describes methods for studying how an organism develops the ability to control different perceptions and how consciousness might be involved in this process.
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The Study of Living Control Systems:A Guide to Doing Research on Purpose
90 折
出版日:2021/02/28 作者:Richard S. Marken  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
This book is a guide to doing a new kind of psychological research that focuses on the purposes rather than the causes of behavior. The research methods described here are based on a theory of behaviour called Perceptual Control Theory (PCT) that views organisms as purposeful rather than mechanical systems. According to PCT, purposeful behaviour involves acting to control perceptual input variables. Thus, understanding the purposeful behaviour of living organisms is a matter of determining the perceptual variables they are controlling when they are carrying out various behaviors. This book outlines research methods that determine what perceptual variables an organism is controlling, how it controls those variables, and why. It also describes methods for studying how an organism develops the ability to control different perceptions and how consciousness might be involved in this process.
優惠價: 9 1673
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出版日:2020/09/30 作者:Brian S. Everitt  出版社:Chapman & Hall  裝訂:精裝
S-PLUS is the statistical software of choice for many applied researchers in disciplines ranging from finance to medicine. This book focuses on statistical techniques, applies them to one or more data
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Essential Statistical Physics
90 折
出版日:2020/07/31 作者:Malcolm P. Kennett  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
This clear and pedagogical text delivers a concise overview of classical and quantum statistical physics. Essential Statistical Physics shows students how to relate the macroscopic properties of physical systems to their microscopic degrees of freedom, preparing them for graduate courses in areas such as biophysics, condensed matter physics, atomic physics and statistical mechanics. Topics covered include the microcanonical, canonical, and grand canonical ensembles, Liouville's Theorem, Kinetic Theory, non-interacting Fermi and Bose systems and phase transitions, and the Ising model. Detailed steps are given in mathematical derivations, allowing students to quickly develop a deep understanding of statistical techniques. End-of-chapter problems reinforce key concepts and introduce more advanced applications, and appendices provide a detailed review of thermodynamics and related mathematical results. This succinct book offers a fresh and intuitive approach to one of the most challenging
優惠價: 9 1781
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College Admission Essentials
滿額折
出版日:2020/07/21 作者:Ethan Sawyer  出版社:Sourcebooks Inc  裝訂:平裝
A simple, proven, and step-by-step approach to taking control of the college admission processWhat if you could take control of the admissions process, as you apply for your dream school, and do it in
優惠價: 79 510
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出版日:2019/12/22 作者:Debbie L. Hahs-vaughn; Richard G. Lomax  出版社:Taylor & Francis  裝訂:平裝
Statistical Concepts-A Second Course presents the last 10 chapters from An Introduction to Statistical Concepts, Fourth Edition. Designed for second and upper-level statistics courses, this book highl
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出版日:2019/12/17 作者:A. John Bailer  出版社:Chapman & Hall  裝訂:平裝
Statistical Programming in SAS Second Edition provides a foundation for programming to implement statistical solutions using SAS, a system that has been used to solve data analytic problems for more t
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出版日:2019/12/10 作者:Chester Ismay (DataCamp); Albert Y. Kim  出版社:CRC Pr I Llc  裝訂:平裝
Statistical Inference via Data Science: A ModernDive into R and the Tidyverse provides a pathway for learning about statistical inference using data science tools widely used in industry, academia, an
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出版日:2019/11/30 作者:Aris Spanos  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
Doubt over the trustworthiness of published empirical results is not unwarranted and is often a result of statistical mis-specification: invalid probabilistic assumptions imposed on data. Now in its second edition, this bestselling textbook offers a comprehensive course in empirical research methods, teaching the probabilistic and statistical foundations that enable the specification and validation of statistical models, providing the basis for an informed implementation of statistical procedure to secure the trustworthiness of evidence. Each chapter has been thoroughly updated, accounting for developments in the field and the author's own research. The comprehensive scope of the textbook has been expanded by the addition of a new chapter on the Linear Regression and related statistical models. This new edition is now more accessible to students of disciplines beyond economics and includes more pedagogical features, with an increased number of examples as well as review questions and e
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Probability Theory and Statistical Inference ― Empirical Modeling With Observational Data
滿額折
出版日:2019/09/30 作者:Aris Spanos  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
Doubt over the trustworthiness of published empirical results is not unwarranted and is often a result of statistical mis-specification: invalid probabilistic assumptions imposed on data. Now in its second edition, this bestselling textbook offers a comprehensive course in empirical research methods, teaching the probabilistic and statistical foundations that enable the specification and validation of statistical models, providing the basis for an informed implementation of statistical procedure to secure the trustworthiness of evidence. Each chapter has been thoroughly updated, accounting for developments in the field and the author's own research. The comprehensive scope of the textbook has been expanded by the addition of a new chapter on the Linear Regression and related statistical models. This new edition is now more accessible to students of disciplines beyond economics and includes more pedagogical features, with an increased number of examples as well as review questions and e
優惠價: 9 2924
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Statistical Concepts - A First Course
90 折
出版日:2019/09/27 作者:Debbie L. Hahs-vaughn; Richard G. Lomax  出版社:Routledge  裝訂:平裝
Statistical Concepts-A First Course presents the first 10 chapters from An Introduction to Statistical Concepts, Fourth Edition. Designed for first and lower-level statistics courses, this book commun
優惠價: 9 3392
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Nonequilibrium Statistical Thermodynamics
滿額折
出版日:2019/04/17 作者:Bernard H. Lavenda  出版社:Dover Pubns  裝訂:平裝
This book develops in detail the statistical foundations of nonequilibrium thermodynamics, based on the mathematical theory of Brownian motion. Author Bernard H. Lavenda demonstrates that thermodynami
優惠價: 9 614
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出版日:2019/02/23 作者:Richard D. De Veaux; Paul F. Velleman; David E. Bock  出版社:Pearson College Div  裝訂:精裝
For courses in Introductory Statistics. Encourages statistical thinking using technology, innovative methods, and a sense of humor Inspired by the 2016 GAISE Report revision, Stats: Data and Models, 5th Edition by De Veaux/Velleman/Bock uses innovative strategies to help students think critically about data — while maintaining the book’s core concepts, coverage, and most importantly, readability.By using technology and simulations to demonstrate variability at critical points throughout the course, the authors make it easier for instructors to teach and for students to understand more complicated statistical concepts later in the course (such as the Central Limit Theorem). In addition, students get more exposure to large data sets and multivariate thinking, which better prepares them to be critical consumers of statistics in the 21st century. The 5th Edition’s approach to teaching Stats: Data and Models is revolutionary, yet it retains the book's lively tone
優惠價: 1 10933
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Real Estate Investing for Everyone ― A Guide to Creating Financial Freedom
滿額折
出版日:2019/02/13 作者:Martin Stone; Marty Stone  出版社:Ixia Pr  裝訂:平裝
Investment in real estate is about taking control of your financial future. All too often, potential investors overlook available benefits because the process seems too difficult or beyond their means
優惠價: 9 545
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出版日:2019/01/15 作者:M. Venkataswamy Reddy  出版社:Apple Academic Pr Inc  裝訂:精裝
This volume, Statistical Methods in Psychiatry Research and SPSS, now going into its second edition, has been helping psychiatrists expand their knowledge of statistical methods and fills the gaps in
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出版日:2018/12/15 作者:Proquest (COR)  出版社:Bernan Assoc  裝訂:精裝
The Statistical Abstract of the United States is the best known statistical reference. As a comprehensive collection of statistics on the social, political, and economic conditions of the country, it
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Birth Control in the Decolonizing Caribbean ― Reproductive Politics and Practice on Four Islands 1930-1970
滿額折
出版日:2018/11/30 作者:Nicole C. Bourbonnais  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
Over the course of the twentieth century, campaigns to increase access to modern birth control methods spread across the globe and fundamentally altered the way people thought about and mobilized around reproduction. This book explores how a variety of actors translated this movement into practice on four islands (Jamaica, Trinidad, Barbados, and Bermuda) from the 1930s–70s. The process of decolonization during this period led to heightened clashes over imperial and national policy and brought local class, race, and gender tensions to the surface, making debates over reproductive practices particularly evocative and illustrative of broader debates in the history of decolonization and international family planning. Birth Control in the Decolonizing Caribbean is at once a political history, a history of activism, and a social history, exploring the challenges faced by working class women as they tried to negotiate control over their reproductive lives.
優惠價: 9 1813
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出版日:2018/11/16 作者:Peter G飆z; Uwe M. Schirmer  出版社:Addison-Wesley Professional  裝訂:平裝
The Scrum Framework comprises eleven rules based on empirical process control. These rules can easily be described and understood, but they can be extremely challenging for teams to implement. The Pro
優惠價: 1 1750
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Homebrew Beyond the Basics:All-Grain Brewing & Other Next Steps
滿額折
出版日:2018/11/15 作者:Mike Karnowski  出版社:Sterling Pub Co Inc  裝訂:平裝
Make your next beer your best beer with this revised and expanded version of the popular guide to homebrewing. Want to take total control of the beer-making process? Move beyond extract brewing
優惠價: 79 599
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出版日:2018/10/31 作者:Vaclav Brezina  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
Do you use language corpora in your research or study, but find that you struggle with statistics? This practical introduction will equip you to understand the key principles of statistical thinking and apply these concepts to your own research, without the need for prior statistical knowledge. The book gives step-by-step guidance through the process of statistical analysis and provides multiple examples of how statistical techniques can be used to analyse and visualise linguistic data. It also includes a useful selection of discussion questions and exercises which you can use to check your understanding. The book comes with a Companion website, which provides additional materials (answers to exercises, datasets, advanced materials, teaching slides etc.) and Lancaster Stats Tools online (http://corpora.lancs.ac.uk/stats), a free click-and-analyse statistical tool for easy calculation of the statistical measures discussed in the book.
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Statistics in Corpus Linguistics ― A Practical Guide
滿額折
出版日:2018/10/31 作者:Vaclav Brezina  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
Do you use language corpora in your research or study, but find that you struggle with statistics? This practical introduction will equip you to understand the key principles of statistical thinking and apply these concepts to your own research, without the need for prior statistical knowledge. The book gives step-by-step guidance through the process of statistical analysis and provides multiple examples of how statistical techniques can be used to analyse and visualise linguistic data. It also includes a useful selection of discussion questions and exercises which you can use to check your understanding. The book comes with a Companion website, which provides additional materials (answers to exercises, datasets, advanced materials, teaching slides etc.) and Lancaster Stats Tools online (http://corpora.lancs.ac.uk/stats), a free click-and-analyse statistical tool for easy calculation of the statistical measures discussed in the book.
優惠價: 9 1345
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出版日:2018/10/30 作者:Wokyung Sung  出版社:Springer Nature  裝訂:精裝
This book aims to cover a broad range of topics in statistical physics, including statistical mechanics (equilibrium and non-equilibrium), soft matter and fluid physics, for applications to biological
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Statistical Physics of Synchronization
90 折
出版日:2018/09/05 作者:Shamik Gupta; Alessandro Campa; Stefano Ruffo  出版社:Springer Nature  裝訂:平裝
This book introduces and discusses the analysis of interacting many-body complex systems exhibiting spontaneous synchronization from the perspective of nonequilibrium statistical physics. While such systems have been mostly studied using dynamical system theory, the book underlines the usefulness of the statistical physics approach to obtain insightful results in a number of representative dynamical settings. Although it is intractable to follow the dynamics of a particular initial condition, statistical physics allows to derive exact analytical results in the limit of an infinite number of interacting units. Chapter one discusses dynamical characterization of individual units of synchronizing systems as well as of their interaction and summarizes the relevant tools of statistical physics. The latter are then used in chapters two and three to discuss respectively synchronizing systems with either a first- or a second-order evolution in time. This book provides a timely introduction to
優惠價: 9 2835
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出版日:2018/07/31 作者:V. Temlyakov  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
This self-contained, systematic treatment of multivariate approximation begins with classical linear approximation, and moves on to contemporary nonlinear approximation. It covers substantial new developments in the linear approximation theory of classes with mixed smoothness, and shows how it is directly related to deep problems in other areas of mathematics. For example, numerical integration of these classes is closely related to discrepancy theory and to nonlinear approximation with respect to special redundant dictionaries, and estimates of the entropy numbers of classes with mixed smoothness are closely related to (in some cases equivalent to) the Small Ball Problem from probability theory. The useful background material included in the book makes it accessible to graduate students. Researchers will find that the many open problems in the theory outlined in the book provide helpful directions and guidance for their own research in this exciting and active area.
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The International Scientific and Professional Conference on Geodesy, Cartography and Geoinformatics 2017 (GCG 2017) was organized under the auspices of the Faculty of Mining, Ecology, Process Control
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The Skew-normal and Related Families
90 折
出版日:2018/03/31 作者:Adelchi Azzalini  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
Interest in the skew-normal and related families of distributions has grown enormously over recent years, as theory has advanced, challenges of data have grown, and computational tools have made substantial progress. This comprehensive treatment, blending theory and practice, will be the standard resource for statisticians and applied researchers. Assuming only basic knowledge of (non-measure-theoretic) probability and statistical inference, the book is accessible to the wide range of researchers who use statistical modelling techniques. Guiding readers through the main concepts and results, it covers both the probability and the statistics sides of the subject, in the univariate and multivariate settings. The theoretical development is complemented by numerous illustrations and applications to a range of fields including quantitative finance, medical statistics, environmental risk studies, and industrial and business efficiency. The author's freely available R package sn, available fr
優惠價: 9 1889
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出版日:2018/03/09 作者:Scott Pardo; Michael Pardo  出版社:Chapman & Hall  裝訂:精裝
Statistical Methods for Field and Laboratory Studies in Behavioral Ecology focuses on how statistical methods may be used to make sense of behavioral ecology and other data. It presents fundamental co
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Environmental Science and International Politics ― Acid Rain in Europe 1979-1989, and Climate Change in Copenhagen 2009
滿額折
出版日:2018/03/01 作者:David E. Henderson; Susan K. Henderson  出版社:Univ of North Carolina Pr  裝訂:平裝
Environmental Science and International Politics features two reacting games in one volume, immersing students in the complex process of negotiating international treaties to control environmental pol
優惠價: 1 1800
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