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Bayesian Population Analysis Using Winbugs

106591
9 / 2665
A History of the Soviet Union from the Beginning to Its Legacy
75 折
出版日:2016/10/31 作者:Peter Kenez  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
This concise yet comprehensive textbook examines political, social, and cultural developments in the Soviet Union and the post-Soviet period. It begins by identifying the social tensions and political inconsistencies that spurred radical change in Russia's government, from the turn of the century to the revolution of 1917. Peter Kenez presents this revolution as a crisis of authority that the creation of the Soviet Union resolved. The text traces the progress of the Soviet Union through the 1920s, the years of the New Economic Policies, and into the Stalinist order. It illustrates how post-Stalin Soviet leaders struggled to find ways to rule the country without using Stalin's methods - but also without openly repudiating the past - and to negotiate a peaceful but antipathetic coexistence with the capitalist West. This updated third edition includes substantial new material, discussing the challenges Russia currently faces in the era of Putin.
優惠:Cambridge 書展 優惠價: 75 1304
庫存:1
#4 Claudia and Mean Janine (The Baby-Sitters Club Graphix)
滿額折
出版日:2016/01/26 作者:Ann M. Martin; Raina Telgemeier (ILT); Raina Telgemeier (ILT)  出版社:Graphix  裝訂:平裝
Claudia and her sister, Janine, may as well be from two different planets. Claudia, who pays more attention to her artwork and The Baby-sitters Club than her homework, feels like she can't compete with her perfect sister. Janine studies nonstop, gets straight As, and even takes college-level courses! But when something unexpected happens to the most beloved person in their family, will the sisters be able to put aside their differences?Raina Telgemeier, using the signature style featured in her acclaimed graphic novelsSmile and Sisters, perfectly captures all the drama and charm of the original novel!
優惠價: 79 330
庫存:4
Disability and Poverty in the Global South ― Renegotiating Development in Guatemala
90 折
出版日:2015/05/27 作者:Shaun Grech  出版社:Palgrave Macmillan  裝訂:精裝
"The author provides unprecedented critical, interdisciplinary explorations of the complex dynamics and intersectionalities operating between disability and poverty in rural areas, an assumed relationship that is too often misunderstood. Reporting on long term ethnographic work in Guatemala and prioritising the voices, knowledge and narratives of disabled people and their families, Grech offers an incisive and refined critical analysis of the various complex barriers and interactions in the disability/poverty/rurality nexus encountered by what Grech calls 'disabled families'. The book opens up discussions on a broad range of themes traversing conceptual, spatial, historical, embodied, spiritual, racial, sexual and gendered terrains among others. It challenges and reframes established, often imposed discourses and practices, and contests issues of (re)presentation, Eurocentrism, and coloniality. Finally, it contributes new and uncharted reflections for further debate, which are indispen
優惠價: 9 5040
庫存:1
National Geographic Readers: Go Cub! (Level 1)
滿額折
出版日:2014/05/13 作者:Susan Neuman  出版社:National Geographic Kids  裝訂:平裝
Join the little lion cub on his day of adventures on the African savanna. Watch him run, jump, play, eat, and sleep, cuddle with mom, and roll around with his brother and sister. Told in simple yet lively text built with sight words and using picture icons to aid reading, National Geographic Pre-readers will enchant kids just beginning their journey with books.
優惠價: 79 150
庫存:2
Valuation and Risk Management in Energy Markets
75 折
出版日:2014/02/28 作者:Glen Swindle  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
Valuation and Risk Management in Energy Markets surveys the mechanics of energy markets and the valuation of structures commonly arising in practice. The presentation balances quantitative issues and practicalities facing portfolio managers, with substantial attention paid to the ways in which common methods fail in practice and to alternative methods when they exist. The material spans basic fundamentals of markets, statistical analysis of price dynamics, and a sequence of increasingly challenging structures, concluding with issues arising at the enterprise level. In totality, the material has been selected to provide readers with the analytical foundation required to function in modern energy trading and risk management groups.
優惠:Cambridge 書展 優惠價: 75 5216
庫存:1
Elements of Moral Cognition ― Rawls' Linguistic Analogy and the Cognitive Science of Moral and Legal Judgment
75 折
出版日:2013/09/26 作者:John Mikhail  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
Is the science of moral cognition usefully modelled on aspects of Universal Grammar? Are human beings born with an innate 'moral grammar' that causes them to analyse human action in terms of its moral structure, with just as little awareness as they analyse human speech in terms of its grammatical structure? Questions like these have been at the forefront of moral psychology ever since John Mikhail revived them in his influential work on the linguistic analogy and its implications for jurisprudence and moral theory. In this seminal book, Mikhail offers a careful and sustained analysis of the moral grammar hypothesis, showing how some of John Rawls' original ideas about the linguistic analogy, together with famous thought experiments like the trolley problem, can be used to improve our understanding of moral and legal judgement.
優惠:Cambridge 書展 優惠價: 75 1998
庫存:1
Introduction to Mathematical Portfolio Theory
75 折
出版日:2013/08/31 作者:Mark S. Joshi  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
In this concise yet comprehensive guide to the mathematics of modern portfolio theory the authors discuss mean-variance analysis, factor models, utility theory, stochastic dominance, very long term investing, the capital asset pricing model, risk measures including VAR, coherence, market efficiency, rationality and the modelling of actuarial liabilities. Each topic is clearly explained with assumptions, mathematics, limitations, problems and solutions presented in turn. Joshi's trademark style of clarity and practicality is here brought to classical financial mathematics. The book is suitable for mathematically trained students in actuarial studies, business and economics as well as mathematics and finance, and it can be used for both self-study and as a course text. The authors' experience as both academics and practitioners brings clarity and relevance to the book, whilst ensuring that the limitations of models are highlighted.
優惠:Cambridge 書展 優惠價: 75 2534
庫存:1
結構方程模式:潛在成長曲線分析
滿額折
出版日:2013/05/10 作者:吳明隆  出版社:五南圖書出版  裝訂:平裝
傳統縱貫性資料或重複量測資料的統計分析,常用者為變異數分析(ANOVA)、共變數分析(ANCOVA)、多變量共變數分析(MANCOVA)及自我迴歸法等,這些方法都偏向於總體性資料的分析,統計分析的程序有其基本統計假定的限制。另一個可以處理縱貫性資料或重複量測資料的統計方法,稱為「潛在成長曲線分析」法(Latent Growth Curve Analysis;簡稱LGM或LGC),藉由成長曲線模式的
優惠價: 95 646
庫存:1
SAS財金計量之應用
95 折
出版日:2012/12/12 作者:王萬成  出版社:新陸書局  裝訂:平裝
近十幾年來,SAS軟體系統的發展見證了學術與商業這兩個領域發展與變化。從開始的統計分析系統到現在無所不包的企業資料分析決策系統,SAS(賽仕)從原先的統計分析系統(Statistical Analysis System),演化到現在被賦予一個廣泛的意義—「The Power to Know(創造、提供知識的力量)」,以協助做正確的決策。科學研究講究的是證據,而計量(metrics)則是證據、科學研
優惠價: 95 656
庫存:1
Oracle Vm Implementation And Administration Guide
66 折
出版日:2011/07/13 作者:Edward Whalen  出版社:Mcgraw-Hill; Inc.  裝訂:平裝
Master the Powerful Virtualization Tools in Oracle VMSet up and maintain a dynamic virtualization platform across your enterprise using the detailed information contained in this Oracle Press guide. Oracle VM Implementation and Administration Guide contains key virtualization concepts, practical instructions, examples, and best practices. Find out how to design Oracle VM server farms, build and deploy virtual machines, handle provisioning and cloning, and work with Oracle VM Manager. Monitoring, tuning, and security techniques are also covered in this comprehensive volume.Install, configure, and manage all Oracle VM componentsPlan, size, and set up Oracle VM server farms and server poolsControl resources from Oracle Enterprise Manager Grid Control, Oracle VM Manager, and Oracle VM Command Line InterfaceGovern network drives and virtual storage using Oracle VM toolsCreate virtual machines manually or from Oracle library templatesConvert existing virtual machines on other systems to Orac
優惠:挖寶專區-原文書 優惠價: 66 1254
庫存:1
Gaza in Crisis: Reflections on Israel's War Against the Palestinians
50 折
出版日:2011/07/06 作者:Ilan Pappe; Noam Chomsky  出版社:UK Penguin  裝訂:平裝
《加薩危機》由知名政治評論家諾姆・喬姆斯基與以色列歷史學者伊蘭・帕佩共同撰寫,深入剖析以巴衝突的歷史脈絡與現實困局。從以色列在「鑄鉛行動」中對學校、醫院的攻擊,到使用白磷彈所引發的國際關注,本書不僅回顧事件經過,更將其置於以色列長期對巴勒斯坦政策的歷史背景中探討。內容詳實、立場清晰,是了解當前中東政治與人道危機的重要讀物,適合關心國際局勢、公義與和平議題的讀者深入閱讀與反思。Co-authored by two leading voices in the struggle to liberate Palestine, a clear-sighted and essential analysis of the political context around this region at a desperate impasseFrom the targeting of schools and hospitals, to the indiscriminate use of white phosphorus, Israel's conduct in 'Operation Cast Lead' has rattled even some of its most strident supporters. In Gaza in Crisis, Noam Chomsky and Ilan Pappé survey the fallout from that devastation, and place the massacre in Gaza in the context of Israel's long-standing war against the Palestinians. It is a rigorous, historically informed and much-needed analysis of the situation and will be welcomed by all those eager for Chomsky's and Pappé's insights into yet another political catastrophe.'Noam Chomsky is a global phenomenon . . .he may be the m
優惠:匯讀中外曬書展 優惠價: 5 302
庫存:1
Now You See Me... (Dr. Seuss/Cat in the Hat)(Step Into Reading 2)
滿額折
出版日:2011/01/11 作者:Tish Rabe; Christopher Moroney (ILT)  出版社:Random House Childrens Books  裝訂:平裝
Hide-and-seek is a great game, but Nick always finds where Sally is hiding. And that's no fun! Enter the Cat in the Hat. His friend Gecko is an expert at hiding. Maybe Gecko can share some tips with the kids? So off they go to the jungle, where Gecko teaches them how to hide in plain sight—using camouflage! Kids won't be able to hide their delight in this rhymed Step 2, Step into Reading book based on an episode from the new PBS Kids television show The Cat in the Hat Knows a Lot About That! (Step 2 is for children who recognize familiar words and sound out new words with aural and visual cues. Step 2 titles have simple stories, basic vocabulary, and short sentences.)
優惠:Step into Reading讀本展-單75五69 優惠價: 75 171
庫存:2
International Health and Aid Policies:The Need for Alternatives
75 折
出版日:2010/09/23 作者:Jean-Pierre Unger  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
International health and aid policies of the past two decades have had a major impact on the delivery of care in low and middle-income countries. This book argues that these policies have often failed to achieve their main aims, and have in fact contributed to restricted access to family medicine and hospital care. Presenting detailed evidence, and illustrated by case studies, this book describes how international health policies to date have largely resulted in expensive health care for the rich, and disjointed and ineffective services for the poor. As a result, large segments of the population world-wide continue to suffer from unnecessary casualties, pain and impoverishment. International Health and Aid Policies arms health professionals, researchers and policy makers with strategies that will enable them to bridge the gaps between public health, medicine and health policy in order to support robust, comprehensive and accessible health care systems in any political environment.
優惠:Cambridge 書展 優惠價: 75 2388
庫存:1
Waves in Oceanic and Coastal Waters
73 折
出版日:2010/02/04 作者:Leo H. Holthuijsen  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
本書是一部系統性探討海洋與沿岸波浪的專業著作,兼顧物理意義與統計分析,適合研究所學生、研究人員與工程實務者閱讀。內容從觀測技術談起,介紹現地量測與遙測方法,並逐步建立描述波浪的參數與統計架構。書中詳述線性波理論在外海與近岸水域的應用,說明波浪在不同水深與地形條件下的行為差異,並深入介紹 SWAN 波浪模式,協助讀者理解現代數值模擬在工程與研究中的角色。全書結構嚴謹、插圖清楚,是理解風生波浪與海岸波動不可或缺的參考書。Waves in Oceanic and Coastal Waters describes the observation, analysis and prediction of wind-generated waves in the open ocean, in shelf seas, and in coastal regions with islands, channels, tidal flats and inlets, estuaries, fjords and lagoons. Most of this richly illustrated book is devoted to the physical aspects of waves. After introducing observation techniques for waves, both at sea and from space, the book defines the parameters that characterise waves. Using basic statistical and physical concepts, the author discusses the prediction of waves in oceanic and coastal waters, first in terms of generalised observations, and then in terms of the more theoretical framework of the spectral energy balance. He gives the results of established theories and also the direction in wh
優惠:匯讀中外曬書展 優惠價: 73 2229
庫存:1
8 Keys to Safe Trauma Recovery ─ Take-Charge Strategies to Empower Your Healing
70 折
出版日:2010/01/01 作者:Babette Rothschild  出版社:W W Norton & Co Inc  裝訂:平裝
Trauma recovery is tricky; however, there are several key principles that can help make the process safe and effective. This book gives patients and therapists alike the skills to understand and implement the eight keys to successful trauma survival: mindfulness; a focus on survival; recovery without false memories; creating an inner dialogue that soothes; building psychological defenses to cope; understanding the role of shame; finding your own recovery pace; and recognizing and using common sense in safe recovery.This is not another book promoting a new method or type of treatment; rather, it is a necessary adjunct to other therapies. After reading this book, readers will be able to recognize their own individual needs and evaluate whether those needs are being met. They will have the tools necessary to put themselves in the driver's seat, navigating their own safe road to recovery.
優惠:外文優惠70 優惠價: 7 691
庫存:1
The Writing Diet ─ Write Yourself Right-size
66 折
出版日:2008/12/26 作者:Julia Cameron  出版社:J P Tarcher  裝訂:平裝
Now in paperback, Julia CameronA's revolutionary diet plan: Use writing to take off the pounds!Over the course of the past twenty-five years, Julia Cameron has taught thousands of artists and aspiring artists how to unblock wellsprings of creativity. And time and again she has noticed an interesting thing: Often when her students uncover their creative selves they also undergo a surprising physical transformationA- invigorated by their work, they slim down. In The Writing Diet, Cameron illuminates the relationship between creativity and eating to reveal a crucial equation: Creativity can block overeating.This inspiring weight-loss program directs readers to count words instead of calories, to substitute their writingA's A"food for thoughtA" for actual food. The Writing Diet presents a brilliant plan for using one of the soulA's deepest and most abiding appetitesA-the desire to be creativeA-to lose weight and keep it off forever.
優惠:挖寶專區-原文書 優惠價: 66 712
庫存:1
The Honest Broker―Making Sense for Science in Policy and Politics
75 折
出版日:2007/04/19 作者:Roger A. Pielke; Jr  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
Scientists have a choice concerning what role they should play in political debates and policy formation, particularly in terms of how they present their research. This book is about understanding this choice, what considerations are important to think about when deciding, and the consequences of such choices for the individual scientist and the broader scientific enterprise. Rather than prescribing what course of action each scientist ought to take, the book aims to identify a range of options for individual scientists to consider in making their own judgments about how they would like to position themselves in relation to policy and politics. Using examples from a range of scientific controversies and thought-provoking analogies from other walks of life, The Honest Broker challenges us all - scientists, politicians and citizens - to think carefully about how best science can contribute to policy-making and a healthy democracy.
優惠:Cambridge 書展 優惠價: 75 1656
庫存:1
材料破損分析
滿額折
出版日:2007/03/01 作者:莊東漢  出版社:五南圖書出版  裝訂:平裝
「材料破損分析」(Failure Analysis)相當於「材料診斷學」,也就是當材料發生破損時,利用各種儀器及方法,從破損的形貌觀察及破損成份分析,推斷破損的機制,並藉此尋求破損原因,以便對症下藥,或者避免重蹈覆轍。 材料破損形式可歸納為機械力破損、腐蝕性(化學力)破損及高溫(熱力)破損。機械力破損主要涵蓋恆力破損、疲勞破損及磨耗;腐蝕性破損則包括均勻腐蝕、粒間腐蝕、孔蝕、隙縫腐蝕、伽凡尼腐
優惠價: 95 646
庫存:1
Word by Word Picture Dictionary English/Japanese Edition
75 折
出版日:2006/11/29 作者:Steven J. Molinsky; Bill Bliss  出版社:Allyn & Bacon  裝訂:平裝
Word by Word Picture Dictionary, Second Edition, by Steven J. Molinsky and Bill Bliss, is the only truly communicative vocabulary development program! This is the new edition of the picture dictionary program famous worldwide for itsease-of-use, lively spirit,andactive conversational approach.Outstanding features of the new edition:The English/Japanese Editionand otherBilingual Editionspresent the second language in blue next to each English word.Vibrant illustrationsandsimple accessible lesson pagesare designed for clarity and ease-of-use with learners at all levels.Word by Wordis the most learner-friendly picture dictionary ― especially for Beginners.More than 4,000 words inan expanded range of topicsprepare students for success using English in everyday life, in the community, in school, and at work.A careful research-based sequence of lessonsintegrates students’ development of grammar and vocabulary skills through topics that begin with the immediate world of the student and progre
優惠:外文好書 優惠價: 75 1589
庫存:1
墨菲論市場互動分析
滿額折
出版日:2006/11/01 作者:約翰.墨菲  出版社:寰宇  裝訂:平裝
◆市場互動分析大師約翰‧墨菲(John Murphy)又來了!他於1990年首創先河,發表《市場互動技術分析》 (Intermarket Technical Analysis;寰宇技術分析60)一書以來十年,市場互動分析已有長足的進步。雖然全球市場彼此互動的觀念,曾經遭人懷疑,現在市場互動分析卻被視為最重要的技術分析學門之一。今天,市場觀察家經常回顧歷史,鑑往知來,藉以預測未來的市場表現。◆墨菲把
優惠價: 79 363
庫存:1
Adventures in Card Play
滿額折
出版日:2006/04/01 作者:Geza Ottlik; Hugh Walter Kelsey  出版社:Orion UK  裝訂:平裝
Geza Ottlik had a remarkable talent for discovering and analyzing strange and fascinating aspects of card play in bridge. This brilliant book is the result of his collaboration with Hugh Kelsey—whose skill at high-level analysis of bridge problems was equalled only by his ability as an instructive writer. Adventures in Card Play is universally regarded as one of the all-time great classics of bridge.
優惠價: 79 911
庫存:1
Encyclopedia Brown and the Case of the Mysterious Handprints
滿額折
出版日:2004/09/01 作者:Donald J. Sobol; Gail Owens  出版社:Penguin Group USA  裝訂:平裝
A stolen watermelon...Dueling kites...A blond wig left at the scene of the crime...And a smashed wristwatch whose time has run out!These are just some of the ten brain-twisting mysteries that Encyclopedia Brown must solve by using his famous computerlike brain. Try to crack the cases along with him--the answers to all the mysteries are found in the back!
優惠價: 79 240
庫存:5
Encyclopedia Brown and the Case of the Treasure Hunt
滿額折
出版日:2004/09/01 作者:Donald J. Sobol; Gail Owens  出版社:PBKYRBKS  裝訂:平裝
Suspects who are identical twins...A leaking tent...Magical worm pills...A zebra's portrait...And a sheet of toilet paper from Spain that's been swiped!These are just some of the ten brain-twisting mysteries that Encyclopedia Brown must solve by using his famous computerlike brain. Try crack the cases along with him--the answer to all the mysteries are found in the back!
優惠價: 79 210
庫存:4
資料包絡分析法:理論與應用
滿額折
出版日:2003/12/22 作者:孫遜  出版社:揚智文化  裝訂:平裝
本書以系統化方式介紹資料包絡分析法(Data Envelopment Analysis, DEA),強調理論與應用,適合對績效評估與管理有興趣的讀者閱讀。本書深入淺出介紹DEA基本理論與最新發展模式,並採個案方式,為讀者說明DEA在管理實務上之應用。本書共二篇,理論篇與應用篇
優惠價: 95 523
庫存:2
塑膠模電腦輔助設計-MOLDFLOW軟體應用
95 折
出版日:2003/08/01 作者:林瑞璋  出版社:全威圖書  裝訂:平裝
第一章 MoldflowPlasticsInsight簡介 第二章 塑膠模具射出成型知識 第三章 MoldflowMPI的操作介面 第四章 File指令介紹 第五章 Edit指令介紹 第六章 View指令介紹 第七章 Modeling指令介紹 第八章 Mesh指令介紹 第九章 Analysis指令介紹 第十章 Results指令介紹.....
優惠價: 95 361
庫存:1
Encyclopedia Brown and the Case of the Disgusting Sneakers
滿額折
出版日:1999/04/01 作者:Donald J. Sobol; Gail Owens  出版社:PBKYRBKS  裝訂:平裝
A stolen teacup...An extra set of footprints...Four very strange words...A pirate's treasure...And a race to find a cheater in Idaville's annual disgusting sneaker contest!These are just some of the ten brain-twisting mysteries that Encyclopedia Brown must solve by using his famous computerlike brain. Try to crack the cases along with him--the answers to all the mysteries are found in the back!
優惠價: 79 210
庫存:5
Nate the Great and the crunchy Christmas
滿額折
出版日:1997/10/06 作者:Marjorie Weinman Sharmat; Craig Sharmat  出版社:Random House Childrens Books  裝訂:平裝
Spread some Christmas cheer with Nate the Great in this holiday adventure! Beginning readers are introduced to the detective mystery genre, perfect for the Common Core. Kids can problem-solve with Nate, using logical thinking to solve mysteries!Annie's dog is unhappy. When Fang is unhappy, everyone is unhappy. Especially Nate the Great. So Nate agrees to sniff out Fang's mysteriously missing Christmas mail. It's cold and snowy. But Nate the Great and his dog, Sludge, will try to solve this holiday case in time for Fang to have a crunchy, munchy Christmas.Check out the Fun Activities section in the back of the book!“They don’t come any cooler than Nate the Great.”—The Huffington Post
優惠價: 79 210
庫存:1
電路學
滿額折
出版日:1993/06/15 作者:湯君浩  出版社:全華圖書  裝訂:平裝
本書譯自D.E.JOHNSON'J.L.HILBURN及J.R.JOHNSON合著之"BASICELECTRIC CIRCUIT ANALYSIS"第四版,主要在建立讀者電路理論之基礎,使讀者經由本書的引導及例題的驗證,進而培養分析及設計的能力,內容涵蓋了電路學的重要理論,實為大專電子、電機科系最佳「電路學」教本。
優惠價: 95 456
庫存:1
Structuring Politics
75 折
出版日:1992/09/25 作者:Sven Steinmo  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
This volume brings together original essays by scholars working on a diverse range of empirical issues, but whose work is in each case informed by a 'historical institutional' approach to the study of politics. By bringing these pieces together, the volume highlights the methodological and theoretical foundations of this approach and illustrates the general contributions it has made to comparative politics. The essays demonstrate the potential of the approach to illuminate a broad range of issues such as how and why institutions change, how political ideas are filtered through institutional structures in the formation of specific policies, and how institutional structure can have unintended effects on the shaping of policy. The reader is provided with both a thorough understanding of the method of analysis and an overview of the theoretical underpinnings of the approach.
優惠:Cambridge 書展 優惠價: 75 1266
庫存:1
Pete the Cat Big Lunch Card Game Tin
90 折
作者:Briarpatch  出版社:Briarpatch Inc  裝訂:盒裝
Pete the Cat Big Lunch Card Game TinSandwich Stacking Fun​Pete the Cat is the coolest cat ever! Based on the best-selling book series, our Pete the Cat games introduce kids to simple learning concepts wrapped up in fun games. Kids develop color recognition, counting and decision-making skills. Keep on movin' and groovin' with Pete the Cat.​In Big Lunch Card Game, kids collect different cards to create a giant groovy sandwich using different colored food cards to win.​Reinforces color recognition and collaborative playFeatures characters and images from Pete's Big LunchContents:34 Food Cards18 Action CardsInstructionsPlayers: 2 to 4Ages: 4 and up
優惠價: 9 468
庫存:1
Tops and Bottoms (1精裝+1CD)(韓國JY Books版)
53 折
作者:Janet Stevens  出版社:JY Books Kr  裝訂:有聲書
Hare solves his family’s problems by tricking rich and lazy Bear in this funny, energetic version of an old slave story. With roots in American slave tales, Tops & Bottoms celebrates the trickster tradition of using one’s wits to overcome hardship. “As usual, Stevens’ animal characters, bold and colorful, are delightful. . . . It’s all wonderful fun, and the book opens, fittingly, from top to bottom instead of from side to side, making it perfect for story-time sharing.”--BooklistThis title has been selected as a Common Core Text Exemplar (Grades 2-3, Stories)
優惠:外文國際書展 優惠價: 53 599
庫存:2
Bayesian Methods for Interaction and Design
90 折
出版日:2022/08/31 作者:John H. Williamson  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
Intended for researchers and practitioners in interaction design, this book shows how Bayesian models can be brought to bear on problems of interface design and user modelling. It introduces and motivates Bayesian modelling and illustrates how powerful these ideas can be in thinking about human-computer interaction, especially in representing and manipulating uncertainty. Bayesian methods are increasingly practical as computational tools to implement them become more widely available, and offer a principled foundation to reason about interaction design. The book opens with a self-contained tutorial on Bayesian concepts and their practical implementation, tailored for the background and needs of interaction designers. The contributed chapters cover the use of Bayesian probabilistic modelling in a diverse set of applications, including improving pointing-based interfaces; efficient text entry using modern language models; advanced interface design using cutting-edge techniques in Bayesia
優惠價: 9 1944
無庫存
Social Inquiry and Bayesian Inference:Rethinking Qualitative Research
90 折
出版日:2022/01/31 作者:Tasha Fairfield  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
Fairfield and Charman provide a modern, rigorous and intuitive methodology for case-study research to help social scientists and analysts make better inferences from qualitative evidence. The book develops concrete guidelines for conducting inference to best explanation given incomplete information; no previous exposure to Bayesian analysis or specialized mathematical skills are needed. Topics covered include constructing rival hypotheses that are neither too simple nor overly complex, assessing the inferential weight of evidence, counteracting cognitive biases, selecting cases, and iterating between theory development, data collection, and analysis. Extensive worked examples apply Bayesian guidelines, showcasing both exemplars of intuitive Bayesian reasoning and departures from Bayesian principles in published case studies drawn from process-tracing, comparative, and multimethod research. Beyond improving inference and analytic transparency, an overarching goal of this book is to reva
若需訂購本書,請電洽客服 02-25006600[分機130、131]。
Social Inquiry and Bayesian Inference:Rethinking Qualitative Research
90 折
出版日:2022/01/31 作者:Tasha Fairfield  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
Fairfield and Charman provide a modern, rigorous and intuitive methodology for case-study research to help social scientists and analysts make better inferences from qualitative evidence. The book develops concrete guidelines for conducting inference to best explanation given incomplete information; no previous exposure to Bayesian analysis or specialized mathematical skills are needed. Topics covered include constructing rival hypotheses that are neither too simple nor overly complex, assessing the inferential weight of evidence, counteracting cognitive biases, selecting cases, and iterating between theory development, data collection, and analysis. Extensive worked examples apply Bayesian guidelines, showcasing both exemplars of intuitive Bayesian reasoning and departures from Bayesian principles in published case studies drawn from process-tracing, comparative, and multimethod research. Beyond improving inference and analytic transparency, an overarching goal of this book is to reva
優惠價: 9 1674
無庫存
Bayesian Data Analysis for the Behavioral and Neural Sciences:Non-Calculus Fundamentals
滿額折
出版日:2021/04/30 作者:Todd E. Hudson  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:平裝
This textbook bypasses the need for advanced mathematics by providing in-text computer code, allowing students to explore Bayesian data analysis without the calculus background normally considered a prerequisite for this material. Now, students can use the best methods without needing advanced mathematical techniques. This approach goes beyond “frequentist” concepts of p-values and null hypothesis testing, using the full power of modern probability theory to solve real-world problems. The book offers a fully self-contained course, which demonstrates analysis techniques throughout with worked examples crafted specifically for students in the behavioral and neural sciences. The book presents two general algorithms that help students solve the measurement and model selection (also called “hypothesis testing”) problems most frequently encountered in real-world applications.
優惠價: 9 2924
無庫存
Bayesian Data Analysis for the Behavioral and Neural Sciences:Non-Calculus Fundamentals
90 折
出版日:2021/04/30 作者:Todd E. Hudson  出版社:Cambridge Univ Pr  裝訂:精裝
This textbook bypasses the need for advanced mathematics by providing in-text computer code, allowing students to explore Bayesian data analysis without the calculus background normally considered a prerequisite for this material. Now, students can use the best methods without needing advanced mathematical techniques. This approach goes beyond “frequentist” concepts of p-values and null hypothesis testing, using the full power of modern probability theory to solve real-world problems. The book offers a fully self-contained course, which demonstrates analysis techniques throughout with worked examples crafted specifically for students in the behavioral and neural sciences. The book presents two general algorithms that help students solve the measurement and model selection (also called “hypothesis testing”) problems most frequently encountered in real-world applications.
若需訂購本書,請電洽客服 02-25006600[分機130、131]。
Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis With Bayesian Networks
90 折
出版日:2018/08/01 作者:Norman Fenton; Martin Neil  出版社:Chapman & Hall  裝訂:精裝
This is the second edition of a very popular book on the use of Bayesian networks for risk assessment and decision analysis. It is aimed at practitioners and students, with a focus on applications and
優惠價: 9 3563
無庫存
Network Meta-Analysis For Decision Making
滿額折
出版日:2018/01/23 作者:Sofia Dias  出版社:John Wiley & Sons Inc  裝訂:精裝
A practical guide to network meta-analysis with examples and code In the evaluation of healthcare, rigorous methods of quantitative assessment are necessary to establish which interventions are effective and cost-effective. Often a single study will not provide the answers and it is desirable to synthesise evidence from multiple sources, usually randomised controlled trials. This book takes an approach to evidence synthesis that is specifically intended for decision making when there are two or more treatment alternatives being evaluated, and assumes that the purpose of every synthesis is to answer the question "for this pre-identified population of patients, which treatment is 'best'?" A comprehensive, coherent framework for network meta-analysis (mixed treatment comparisons) is adopted and estimated using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods implemented in the freely available software WinBUGS.Each chapter contains worked examples, exercises, solutions and code that may be adapt
優惠價: 9 3384
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Bayesian Data Analysis for Animal Scientists ― The Basics
90 折
出版日:2017/09/14 作者:Agust璯 Blasco  出版社:Springer Verlag  裝訂:精裝
In this book, we provide an easy introduction to Bayesian inference using MCMC techniques, making most topics intuitively reasonable and deriving to appendixes the more complicated matters. The biolog
若需訂購本書,請電洽客服 02-25006600[分機130、131]。
Bayesian Cost-effectiveness Analysis With the R Package Bcea
90 折
出版日:2017/06/24 作者:Gianluca Baio; Andrea Berardi; Anna Heath  出版社:Springer Verlag  裝訂:平裝
The book provides a description of the process of health economic evaluation and modelling for cost-effectiveness analysis, particularly from the perspective of a Bayesian statistical approach. Some r
優惠價: 9 3443
無庫存
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